Gold Touches $5,400, Silver Aims for $100 as Crypto Weakens, What’s the Outlook in March?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Gold and silver prices rallied sharply in global markets as rising geopolitical tensions fueled risk-off mode. While precious metals are hunted as a safe haven, crypto and cryptocurrency markets tend to weaken as investors opt for assets that are considered more defensive. Here is an educational summary based on the key price levels that market participants have been discussing.

1. Why is Gold “Rising” as Geopolitical Risks Rise?

Gold’s rise generally correlates with a surge in safe haven demand when markets assess the risk of war, supply disruptions or policy uncertainty to be elevated. In these situations, investors often reduce exposure to riskier assets and increase their share of hedge assets, giving gold prices a boost. Gold’s movement can also be affected by profit-taking after a quick spike, but the daily trend remains strong when defensive demand persists.

For easy reading, here are the levels that traders often monitor (exchange rate 1 USD = IDR 16,861):

• Intraday breakout area: $5,400 ≈ IDR91,049,400
• The so-called crucial support: $5,406 ≈ Rp91,150,566
• Resistance area: $5,435-$5,440 ≈ Rp91,639,535-Rp91,723,840

Also Read: 5 Important Things About Gold Bullion, the Most Solid Safe Haven Instrument Other Than Crypto!

2. Golden Momentum: Up 20% in a Month, but Still a “Test Zone”

Monthly gains of more than 20% signal strong momentum, but also make the market sensitive to short-term technical corrections. In such phases, direction determination often depends on the ability of the price to hold above support and convincingly break through resistance. You need to understand that strong rallies can still be accompanied by corrections, without automatically changing the main trend.

If a breakout of resistance occurs, the follow-up targets are usually mapped to the following areas:

• Target gradual increase: $5,480-$5,520 ≈ Rp92,398,280-Rp93,072,720
• Medium-term projections discussed by some analysts: $6,100-$7,200 ≈ Rp102,852,100-Rp121,399,200
• Risk of correction remains if sentiment subsides or large profit-taking occurs

3. Silver Near $95.30 and the “Mythical” $100 Target

Silver rallied because it is also treated as a safe haven, although its character is often more volatile than gold. In addition to defensive factors, silver also has an industrial demand dimension, so supply narratives and geopolitical risks can magnify price swings. Because of this, silver is often monitored with clear psychological levels, especially when approaching records.

Levels that are often referred to as breakout triggers and resistance areas:

• The so-called reference price is close: $95.30 ≈ Rp1,606,853
• Nearest resistance: $97 ≈ Rp1,635,517
• Psychological target: $100 ≈ Rp1,686,100
• Support: $93 ≈ IDR1,568,073; below $92 ≈ IDR1,551,212 risks further weakness.

4. Why is Crypto Stifled as Gold-Silver Rises?

When geopolitical risks rise sharply, some market participants prefer liquidity and traditional assets first, so demand for risky assets may decrease. In a risk-off scenario, cryptocurrency movements are often influenced by short-term fund flows, not just long-term narratives. Because of this, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) can look sluggish despite the adoption of the technology.

A figure that many markets are monitoring in this context (exchange rate 1 USD = IDR 16,861):

• Bitcoin (BTC) around $66,000 ≈ Rp1,112,826,000 per BTC
• Ethereum (ETH) around $1,965 ≈ Rp33,131,865 per ETH
• Crypto market capitalization said to weaken to around $2.28 trillion ≈ Rp38.44 quadrillion

5. How to Neutrally Read This Situation

The combination of gold-silver strengthening and crypto weakening usually reflects shifting risk preferences, not the certainty of a long-term trend. For novice investors, the most rational approach is to separate analysis into two horizons: the sentiment-sensitive short-term and the medium-term which is more about monetary policy, liquidity and geopolitical conditions. You can use technical levels as a risk map, while being aware that geopolitical news has the potential to change market direction quickly.

If tensions ease, the safe haven rally could cool down and interest in riskier assets could gradually return. But if escalation continues, cross-asset volatility is likely to remain high and “psychological levels” such as $5,400 in gold or $100 in silver could be tested more frequently. Under these conditions, risk management discipline is likely to be more important than chasing a single narrative.

Also Read: 5 Advantages of Pegadaian Gold Deposit

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash beforeinvesting. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• CoinGape. Gold Price Nears ATH; Silver Eyes $100 Breakout on US-Iran War? Accessed March 3, 2026.