Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction in “SeptemBear” 2025: Will it Freefall?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Entering September 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is facing a month that is historically its weakest period. After experiencing a 6.5% drop in August, Bitcoin (BTC) price opened at $108,253.

With ETFs experiencing outflows of $751 million and whale wallets hitting a new record, the crypto market is bracing for high volatility, especially with the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

Check out the full analysis and predictions for Bitcoin this September according to Zafar Naik, crypto writer from Coinpedia in this article!

Bloody September: Bitcoin (BTC) Downward Trend

Since 2013, Bitcoin (BTC) has averaged a decline of 3.77% during the month of September. This trend has not only been the case for crypto, but also Wall Street which has seen a huge sell-off for almost a century.

This year, the situation is getting more uncertain with many traders anticipating a further decline. The current market situation is exacerbated by the existing market structure.

Mutual funds often lock in losses for tax purposes, liquidity shifts to bonds, and traders return from summer vacation eager to rebalance.

In the crypto market, this effect is amplified as trading takes place 24/7 and volatility is often triggered by whale activity.

Read also: The New Era of Luxury Travel: Luxury Jets, Yachts, and Hotels are Accepting Cryptocurrency!

Geopolitics and the Reality of Risk Assets

According to Zafar Naik’s analysis, global risks are rising with inflation in the US stagnating at 3.1%, major conflicts disrupting supply chains, and trade tensions rising. According to Daniel Keller of InFlux Technologies, the current global geopolitical conditions strongly support the prediction of a sharp decline for Bitcoin (BTC) by September 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) currently moves like a risky asset, which makes it highly vulnerable to any macro shocks. Any change in economic policy or geopolitical instability can directly affect the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

Also read: Gold Strengthens, Dollar Falls: Where Will It Go in September 2025?

September Critical: Economic Decisions and Data

The month of September is filled with data releases and policy decisions that could shake up crypto prices. Important economic updates from the US, including jobs data, trade figures, and manufacturing reports, are scheduled for release in the first week of the month, ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting on September 16-17.

Fed Governor, Christopher Waller, pushed for a 25 basis point rate cut, warning that the central bank “shouldn’t wait” for conditions to worsen before easing. This could provide a boost to the Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets as a whole.

Conclusion

With a shaky market sentiment and history not favoring the bulls, the crypto market, specifically Bitcoin (BTC), is facing a challenging month. “Red September” has arrived, and all eyes are on the next move of Bitcoin (BTC).

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coinpedia. Bitcoin Price Prediction for Red September 2025. Accessed on September 2, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by AI