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Jakarta, Pintu News – Despite global macroeconomic conditions showing improvement with rising liquidity, strengthening stock markets, and falling interest rates, crypto markets are yet to show a significant recovery. Wintermute, in their latest report, reveals some of the factors influencing this slow recovery!
According to Wintermute, despite the expansion of global liquidity, the flow of funds is not heading towards the crypto market as it used to. Currently, investors prefer to invest their capital into stocks, the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, and prediction markets. This is in contrast to the beginning of the year when inflows into ETFs and Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) activity were the main drivers of crypto growth.
“The fund faucet is not closed, just redirected,” the report explains. While the supply of stablecoins showed growth, with more than $100 billion added over the year, assets under management of Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs stagnated at around $150 billion and secondary DAT volumes plummeted.
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Wintermute also challenges Bitcoin’s (BTC) four-year cycle theory, which has been considered a determinant of price performance. According to them, price performance in mature markets like crypto is now influenced more by liquidity flows than miner supply or halving events.
This signals a paradigm shift that requires an adjustment in investors’ expectations. Investors should now pay more attention to macro conditions and institutional behavior rather than relying on traditional cycles.
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Despite the market stagnation, the crypto market structure is still considered healthy. Excessive leverage has been reduced, volatility is at a low level, and market positions are cleaner than at the beginning of the year.
Wintermute remains optimistic that the re-entry of funds into ETFs or DATs could be an early signal of crypto recovery. However, until capital starts flowing back into crypto-specific instruments, the recovery will remain slow.
Despite being surrounded by abundant liquidity, the crypto market is still not out of the woods. Wintermute advises market participants to remain vigilant and adapt their investment strategies to the changing market conditions. A deep understanding of fund flows and global market dynamics will be key in navigating these uncertain times.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto dilakukan oleh PT Pintu Kemana Saja, suatu perusahaan Pedagang Aset Keuangan Digital yang berizin dan diawasi oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan serta merupakan anggota PT Central Finansial X (CFX) dan PT Kliring Komoditi Indonesia (KKI). Kegiatan perdagangan kontrak berjangka atas aset crypto dilakukan oleh PT Porto Komoditi Berjangka, suatu perusahaan Pialang Berjangka yang berizin dan diawasi oleh BAPPEBTI serta merupakan anggota CFX dan KKI. Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto adalah kegiatan berisiko tinggi. PT Pintu Kemana Saja dan PT Porto Komoditi Berjangka tidak memberikan rekomendasi apa pun mengenai investasi dan/atau produk aset crypto. Pengguna wajib mempelajari secara hati-hati setiap hal yang berkaitan dengan perdagangan aset crypto (termasuk risiko terkait) dan penggunaan aplikasi. Semua keputusan perdagangan aset crypto dan/atau kontrak berjangka atas aset crypto merupakan keputusan mandiri pengguna.