7 Fundstrat Research Crypto Predictions: ETH Could Fall to $1,800 in H1 2026

Jakarta, Pintu News – A report attributed to Fundstrat Research on the cryptocurrency market in early 2026 is creating discussion among observers and market participants due to the expected price correction of Ethereum (ETH) to the range of $1,800-$2,000 in the first half of 2026.

This data emerged from a circulating internal document, which was published via screenshots on social media X and attributed to Sean Farrell, chief digital asset strategist at Fundstrat. This information provides a picture of near-term risk that contrasts with the more optimistic public views of some of the same institution’s analysts.

1. Prediction Source: Fundstrat Internal Document

A document attributed to Fundstrat Research was posted by the Wu Blockchain account on the X platform and shows the cryptocurrency market projections in the first half of 2026. The report is referred to as “2026 Crypto Outlook: Near-Term Headwinds, Second-Half Upside,” showing a possible market correction in the first few months of 2026.

According to the circulated copy, Fundstrat’s estimated baseline scenario includes Bitcoin (BTC) prices at $60,000-$65,000 and Solana (SOL) at $50-$75, as well as ETH at $1,800-$2,000. These targets indicate the potential for a significant drop from the current price position.

Also Read: 7 XRP vs BNB Facts: Tight Competition for Top-3 Market-Watched Crypto Positions

2. Comparison with Tom Lee’s Bullish Outlook

This correction prediction seems to contradict the public statements of Tom Lee, co-founder and head of research at Fundstrat, who previously mentioned that Ethereum’s price of around $3,000 looks “seriously undervalued,” and expressed a more optimistic long-term view on the asset.

This difference reflects that internal reports designed for specific clients may use different methodologies and focus on short-term risks, whereas Lee’s public view emphasizes longer-term macro trends.

3. Short-term Risk Focus

Sean Farrell, the author of the document, states that his approach is designed for investors with significant crypto allocations, making risk management and rebalancing strategies essential in the face of volatility. Risk factors mentioned include macroeconomic uncertainty, policy dynamics, and diverse global capital market conditions.

Although the outlook looks “bearish,” Farrell highlights that the projections are not predictions of long-term performance, but rather warnings against short-term pressures that may affect the market.

4. Current Impact on Ethereum

At the time of this report, the Ethereum cryptocurrency is trading at around $3,043, suggesting that the predicted target of $1,800-$2,000 would mean a material decline if it were to occur. This phenomenon reflects a vulnerability in market sentiment and a reflection of the short-term movement that Fundstrat is forecasting.

This short-term needs to be understood as a movement that may occur within the time frame of a few months, not as a definitive long-term projection.

5. Authenticity and Context Concerns

The report has not been officially released by Fundstrat, so its authenticity is still being understood based on circulating screenshots and mentions of internal sources via social media. Cointelegraph notes that this material has not been independently confirmed.

This suggests that while the report provides insight into the views of certain analysts, users should consider that documents like this may be internal and not official public statements of the company.

6. Broader Crypto Market Context

This prediction comes amid broader dynamics in the cryptocurrency market, where global macroeconomic factors, policy changes, and institutional investor activity continue to influence the volatility of Ethereum and other digital assets. These factors are often variables in market risk models.

Market conditions are also constantly evolving, so short-term price movements don’t always resemble more fundamental long-term trends.

7. Interpretation of Target Price

It should be noted that the $1,800-$2,000 target range is not an absolute prediction but a scenario based on the specific risk management approach used in the internal report. Such an approach emphasizes adaptation to market pressures and reveals the importance of understanding the short-term risk context.

This scenario should be read as one of many possible scenarios in the highly dynamic cryptocurrency market.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

FAQ

What does Fundstrat predict for Ethereum price in H1 2026?

Fundstrat in a circulating document projects that Ethereum (ETH) could drop to the $1,800-$2,000 range in the first half of 2026.

Who wrote the prediction?

This prediction was attributed to Sean Farrell, chief digital asset strategist at Fundstrat Research via an internal document shared on X.

How does this contrast with Tom Lee’s view on ETH?

Tom Lee publicly stated that ETH at around $3,000 appears undervalued, in contrast to the projected short-term correction presented in internal documents.

Is this report officially released by Fundstrat?

The report has not been officially released by Fundstrat; its authenticity comes from internal materials circulating on social media.

What does this price target mean for the crypto market?

These targets indicate possible short-term pressure in the cryptocurrency market, but are not a definitive prediction of long-term price direction.

Reference:
Jake Simmons/NewsBTC. Fundstrat Predicts Ethereum To Drop To $1,800 In H1 2026. Accessed December 23, 2025.