7 Bitcoin (BTC) Facts & the Threat of Quantum Computing: Risk, Timing & Industry Debate

Jakarta, Pintu News – The debate on whether Bitcoin (BTC) will be vulnerable to quantum computing attacks is back after Nate Geraci, President of ETFStore and exchange-traded fund expert, stated that no technological system is “100% fail-proof”, including Bitcoin, in a tweet on the X platform that was part of this discussion in December 2025.

Geraci emphasized that while Bitcoin’s cryptographic security is currently very strong, the possibility of future attacks cannot be completely discounted in the context of the evolution of quantum computing technology. This statement was published to provide perspective on the possible risks in the long term for cryptocurrency protocols such as Bitcoin.

1. Nate Geraci’s View on Quantum Risk

Nate Geraci reveals that no technology is truly “failsafe” and that Bitcoin as a human-created software system has limits when it comes to cryptographic risk. Geraci argues that as quantum technology develops, the possibility that Bitcoin could one day be “cracked” by quantum computing is not zero.

Geraci stated that Bitcoin is currently secure, but the ever-increasing computing power could one day pose a significant threat to the cryptocurrency ‘s security mechanisms.

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2. Current Immunity Does Not Guarantee Future

Other experts believe that the quantum threat is not immediate or direct. According to industry reports, a quantum computer capable of cracking Bitcoin’s cryptography is out of reach at the moment, and security technologies such as post-quantum cryptography are being discussed as an anticipatory measure.

This opinion emphasizes that while high-tech threats cannot be ignored, the crypto community and developers have time to prepare for the transition to stronger protocols before such threats actually arise.

3. Technology & Computing Power Arguments

Some skeptics of the quantum threat argue that the cryptography underlying Bitcoin is very strong, and the time it will take before quantum computers become powerful enough to attack this structure is likely to be at least a decade or longer. This is supported by estimates that creating and operating a quantum computer large enough to weaken cryptography such as ECDSA or SHA-256 is a major technical challenge.

The assertion that the threat is not imminent is often used to calm markets and crypto investors who are concerned about the technology’s impact on the price or security of their digital assets in the near future.

4. Speculation on the Timing of Future Quantum Threats

Some tech analysts and investors predict that the quantum threat to Bitcoin could become relevant within the next few years to a decade, depending on the pace of progress in quantum computing research and development. There are also more optimistic predictions that the implementation of quantum-safe cryptography will take place before such capabilities are actually adopted in practice.

This debate often accompanies discussions about the future of cryptography in the cryptocurrency industry in general, as quantum attacks could change the way security protocols are developed and implemented.

5. Early Bitcoin Community & Expert Views

Some early figures in the Bitcoin community, including cryptographers associated with early projects, expressed a calming attitude that the quantum threat narrative is often exaggerated and does not reflect current technical realities. They pointed out that quantum technology capable of practically cracking Bitcoin is likely decades away or even further.

This argument illustrates that the discussion is more speculative and philosophical, rather than a definitive time indicator of when the risk will materialize.

6. Implications for Developers & Protocols

Debates about quantum threats are driving discussions around the need for the development and integration of post-quantum cryptography on blockchains. This solution involves extensive protocol updates and community coordination for migration to new security standards that can withstand future attacks, if and when such technologies become real.

The shift to quantum-safe cryptography will be a major technical and organizational challenge for decentralized networks like Bitcoin, but is also considered a natural evolution of security needs in the digital age.

7. Risk vs. Real Threat

Overall, this discussion reflects the divergence of views between considering possible future technological risks and assessing the real threats facing cryptocurrency technology today. While quantum threats are not immediate, the view that no system is completely immune to technological advancements is fueling research, discussion, and mitigation planning in the crypto ecosystem.

Such debates are expected to continue to escalate especially with the development of more advanced quantum computing and the implementation of next-generation cryptography.

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FAQ

What was the gist of Nate Geraci’s statement about Bitcoin and quantum computing?

Nate Geraci states that no technology is completely fail-proof, so a quantum computing threat to Bitcoin remains possible in the long run.

Is Bitcoin currently threatened by quantum computers?

According to many experts, quantum computers powerful enough to crack Bitcoin’s cryptography do not yet exist and are likely years away, so the threat is not immediate.

Why is the debate on quantum threats important?

This debate is relevant because it can drive the development of quantum-safe cryptography and the theory of future blockchain protocols.

What is post-quantum cryptography?

Post-quantum cryptography is a cryptographic method designed to withstand quantum computer attacks, which could become a new security standard for the future.

Does the Bitcoin community agree on this risk?

No; there are different views between those who see threats as long-term speculative and those who see them as serious technical challenges that need to be anticipated early on.

Reference:
Godfrey Benjamin/U.Today. Nothing Is 100% Failsafe: Nate Geraci Ends Bitcoin Quantum Threat Debate. Accessed December 23, 2025.