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Jakarta, Pintu News – The price of XRP (XRP) fell about 1.1% on January 1, 2026 and still recorded a loss of 8.8% in the last 30 days. This makes it one of the worst-performing assets among the top ten cryptos, with only Dogecoin (DOGE) experiencing a larger monthly decline.
Even so, there has been a change in behavior from the whales and a resurgence of bullish signals that have occurred before. If both hold, this could be the first real attempt to reverse the downward trend.
The price movement of XRP showed weakness from November 4 to December 31. During this period, the XRP price printed lower lows, but the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator – which measures the strength of momentum – showed higher lows. This is known as a bullish divergence and indicates that selling pressure is starting to weaken. Patterns like this often signal the beginning of a downtrend reversal.
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A similar pattern also emerged between November 4 and December 1, which triggered a 12% surge in prices. However, the rally failed to continue due to a lack of support fromwhale wallets.
This time, the divergence pattern was seen again, but with different market conditions.
The whale group played an important role when previous divergence attempts failed. In the early December rally (between December 1-3), the two large groups sold when prices started to rise.
Wallets holding between 1 million to 10 million XRP reduced their holdings from 4.35 billion to 3.97 billion XRP between November 30 and December 4. Meanwhile, wallets with more than 1 billion XRP decreased their holdings from 25.34 billion to 25.16 billion XRP. It is this selling pressure that is likely hindering a potential trend reversal.
However, this time the situation was reversed.
In the last 24 hours (1/1/26), wallets with holdings of more than 1 billion XRP made massive purchases, from 25.47 billion to 27.47 billion XRP – an addition of about 2 billion XRP. At current prices, the value of these purchases equates to about $3.6 billion.

Although smaller whale groups (1 million to 10 million XRP) are still selling, the main power remains in the hands of the mega whales.
It is this change in behavior that distinguishes this situation from that of last November. Currently, the whales are buying when the RSI divergence forms. If this pattern holds, then XRP’s price structure will finally receive support from both momentum and supply.
Read also: Ethereum Struggles to Break $3,000 — Could a 20% Rally Be Ahead?
XRP price still needs to confirm the positive signals shown by the technical indicators. The first sign that the trend reversal was successful would be if XRP is able to close the 12-hour candle convincingly above the $1.92 level.
This level was previously an area of resistance on December 22 and has resisted all upside attempts since then. If XRP manages to break $1.92 with strength, then the next challenge lies at $2.02. If the price is able to reclaim this level, the market’s attention will turn to the $2.17 to $2.21 zone – an area that was a barrier to the rally in early December.

Conversely, if XRP loses support at the $1.77 level, then the potential for a trend reversal will weaken. This could be a signal that the whales entered too early and that the divergence failed again. If this scenario occurs, the momentum structure will break down, and an outcome similar to early December could be repeated.
For now, the RSI divergence, $3.6 billion worth of whale buying, and the return of demand from big wallets provide a much stronger foundation than previous attempts. However, confirmation remains dependent on price action – and the $1.92 level is the deciding line whether the situation is really different this time.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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