Bitcoin Price 2025: Reviewing the Accuracy of Predictions by Big Names in the Crypto World

Jakarta, Pintu News – In 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) reached $126K, yet almost all price predictions from big names in the crypto world were disproven by the end of the year. The boldness of the predictions from leading figures in the industry unraveled after the sudden market crash in October. The difference between prediction and reality shows why Bitcoin (BTC) continues to beat expectations.

Bitcoin Price Target Misses

Throughout the year, high-profile figures made aggressive claims. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy repeatedly stated that Bitcoin (BTC) would surpass $150,000. Robert Kiyosaki projected Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $200,000, while venture capitalist Tim Draper stuck to his old target of $250,000.

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee predicted $150,000, JPMorgan analysts floated a figure near $165,000, and Eric Trump publicly stated Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $1 million one day. In a podcast, Bitwise’s Matt Hougan called the $200,000 mark. VanEck’s research team predicts a first-quarter peak of $180,000.

None of these projections held up to the second half of the year. In October, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted to nearly $12,000 within minutes, a drop of around 10%. This move triggered the liquidation of over $19 billion in 24 hours, while nearly $500 billion was wiped off the total crypto market capitalization. From its October peak, Bitcoin (BTC) is down about 30%, making most year-end price targets mathematically unreachable.

Read also: 3 Crypto Market Predictions and Trends that Potentially Dominate the Year 2026

October: The Market Crash That Changed Everything

On October 10, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp drop that shook the market. This drop of almost $12,000 in a matter of minutes was a drop of about 10%.

The move triggered the liquidation of over $19 billion in 24 hours, while nearly $500 billion was wiped off the total crypto market capitalization. From its October peak, Bitcoin (BTC) is down about 30%, making most year-end price targets mathematically unreachable.

Why Bitcoin Predictions Always Go Wrong

Market commentary during the downturn points to a recurring problem: Bitcoin (BTC) trades more on sentiment and leverage than traditional valuation models.

As noted in analysis from Everything Money Plus, predictions often reflect speculation rather than a repeatable process. The commentary emphasizes that Bitcoin (BTC) behaves more like gold or currencies, where short-term price targets “don’t mean much,” and discipline is more important than predictions.

Read also: What Impact Will Trump’s Tariffs Have on the Crypto Market in Early 2026?

Lessons Left Behind in 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) did not fail to perform in 2025 – it was expectations that failed to adjust. This year reinforced a familiar truth in the crypto market: bold predictions are quick to spread, but reality moves on its own terms. Going into 2026, traders and investors may be better served by price action and risk management, rather than chasing predictions.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coinpedia. Bitcoin 2025 Price Predictions: How Wrong Were Crypto’s Biggest Names. Accessed on January 5, 2026
• Featured Image: Generated by AI