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Jakarta, Pintu News – In 2025, the US dollar experienced a significant drop in value, triggered by Trump’s controversial tariff policies. However, predictions for 2026 suggest that the currency will face more turbulence before finally finding momentum for recovery.
The US dollar is expected to experience a further decline by 2026. Analysts state that the combination of massive macroeconomic development and Trump’s continued spending on the One Big Beautiful Bill will worsen the dollar’s condition. The DXY index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies, is expected to drop to 94.
At the same time, high volatility will continue to color the movement of this currency. Strategists have observed the formation of a V pattern on the exchange rate chart, signaling a sharp decline followed by a quick recovery.
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Despite facing tough challenges in the first half of the year, there is hope that the US dollar will reverse its fortunes by mid-2026. Experts add that new government policies to be implemented in the second half of the year, including trade tariffs that support inflation, may help strengthen the dollar’s position.
Jane Foley of Rabobank, in a report to Reuters, stated that while the dollar may continue to decline, it will not fall drastically. Price movements are expected to take place within a volatile but manageable range.
The decline in the value of the US dollar not only impacts the foreign exchange market, but also has wider implications for the global economy. A weaker currency can affect imports and exports, as well as dollar-related global exchange rates. In addition, volatile US economic policies can affect foreign direct investment and investor confidence. This demonstrates the importance of currency stability in the context of an interconnected global economy.
Looking ahead, market participants and policymakers should prepare themselves for changing and unpredictable dynamics. Despite the challenges, appropriate and responsive policy measures can help minimize the negative impact and capitalize on the recovery potential of the US dollar.
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