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Jakarta, Pintu News – Polygon (POL) price is currently trading at around US$0.38 or equivalent to Rp6,385 (exchange rate 1 USD = Rp16,802) amid bearish momentum. Some crypto analysts think there is a potential upside of 18%-37% towards the US$0.45-US$0.52 area or around Rp7,561-Rp8,737, if the main resistance is broken. However, technical indicators are showing mixed signals that put the cryptocurrency’s short-term movement in a crucial phase.
In the one-week projection, POL is expected to move in the range of US$0.42-US$0.45 or around Rp7,057-Rp7,561. An increase to this level reflects an upside potential of around 18% from the current price of IDR6,385. However, the movement remains dependent on consistent buying interest.
The 14-day RSI stands at 38, signaling neutral to weak conditions. This figure shows that the selling pressure has not completely disappeared, but it has also not entered the extreme oversold phase. This means that room for upside is still open if the crypto market sentiment improves.
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The US$0.43 level or around Rp7,225 which coincides with SMA 20 is the initial resistance that must be broken. If the price is able to stay above this level with increasing volume, the opportunity to go to US$0.45 or IDR7,561 is getting bigger. This area also intersects with SMA 50 which strengthens its technical significance.
In addition, the upper Bollinger Band is around US$0.56 or IDR9,409. A breakout above this level could pave the way towards US$0.58 and even US$0.65-US$0.70 in an optimistic scenario. However, technical confirmations such as RSI above 50 and positive MACD are still needed.
In a bullish scenario, the primary target is around US$0.52 or around IDR8,737. This increase reflects an upside potential of around 37% from the current position. The stochastic indicator which is approaching the oversold area also supports the opportunity for a price bounce.
However, confirmation of the uptrend requires a sustained breakout and increased transaction volume. Without such support, the rally risks becoming a temporary upswing. In the cryptocurrency market, technical validation is the deciding factor for the next direction.
On the other hand, crucial support is at US$0.31 or around IDR5,208. If this level is broken, selling pressure could take the price to US$0.28-US$0.30 or around IDR4,704-IDR5,040. A drop below this area will reinforce the medium-term bearish trend.
MACD, which is still in negative territory, shows that the downward momentum has not completely ended. If the RSI falls below 30, the risk of further weakness is higher. This makes risk management a priority for those active in the crypto market.
A conservative approach is to wait for confirmation of a breakout above IDR7,225 before going long. This strategy helps reduce the risk of false breakouts amid high volatility. Stop-loss can be placed below IDR5,208 to limit potential losses.
Alternatively, the dollar-cost averaging strategy can be done in the range of IDR5,880-Rp6,385 for the long term. Gradual capital distribution can cushion the impact of cryptocurrency price fluctuations. In technical conditions that are not fully bullish, discipline and exposure management are key.
Polygon (POL)’s price forecast shows a potential upside of 18%-37% to IDR7,561-Rp8,737 if resistance of IDR7,225 is broken. However, downside risk to IDR5,208 remains if selling pressure increases again. This situation puts POL at a technical crossroads that determines the direction of its next move.
As a crypto investor, you need to combine technical analysis with measured risk management. Volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency market, so data-driven decisions are more rational than speculation. Understanding key levels will help you respond more objectively to market changes.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash beforeinvesting. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto dilakukan oleh PT Pintu Kemana Saja, suatu perusahaan Pedagang Aset Keuangan Digital yang berizin dan diawasi oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan serta merupakan anggota PT Central Finansial X (CFX) dan PT Kliring Komoditi Indonesia (KKI). Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto adalah kegiatan berisiko tinggi. PT Pintu Kemana Saja tidak memberikan rekomendasi apa pun mengenai investasi dan/atau produk aset crypto. Pengguna wajib mempelajari secara hati-hati setiap hal yang berkaitan dengan perdagangan aset crypto (termasuk risiko terkait) dan penggunaan aplikasi. Semua keputusan perdagangan aset crypto dan/atau kontrak berjangka atas aset crypto merupakan keputusan mandiri pengguna.