Altcoin Season Begins? Analysts Predict ETH/BTC Chart to Resemble 2017 Bull Run

Jakarta, Pintu News – Altcoins may be entering their strongest phase in years, and one analyst believes that market charts are already giving early signs.

Popular crypto analyst Moustache pointed out a rare signal in the ETH/BTC pair that since 2017 has always marked the start of a major altcoin surge. The same signal has now reappeared, and the market may be starting to move at a very opportune time.

ETH/BTC Classic Signal Reappears

According to crypto analyst Moustache, the start of the altcoin season is often signaled by a move on the ETH/BTC chart, which is when the SMA100 (100-day Simple Moving Average) line crosses below the EMA100 (100-day Exponential Moving Average) line. This crossover is now happening again.

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In every previous cycle, this signal has always triggered a long altcoin rally, including a huge surge in the 2020-2021 period.

What makes this moment even more interesting is the fact that ETH/BTC has broken the downward trend of the past 3.5 months – a common sign that funds are starting to shift from Bitcoin to altcoins. When ETH starts to strengthen against BTC, other altcoins usually follow suit with bigger gains.

Institutions Start Rotating to Altcoins

Not just from the technical charts, real-world activity is also pointing in the same direction.

Large institutions have started shifting their funds to altcoins. According to a Coinpedia report, two big players, Amber Group and Metalapha, quietly withdrew around 9,000 ETH worth over $28 million from Binance in just a few hours.

This is just a small part of a much larger trend. In the past five months, large investors have accumulated nearly 4 million ETH.

At the same time, capital flowed into other major altcoins as well. The XRP ETF (XRP) recorded net inflows of $38.04 million, followed by the Ethereum ETF (ETH) at $35.49 million and the Solana ETF (SOL) at $1.18 million.

Meanwhile, the Bitcoin (BTC) ETF recorded a net outflow of $60.48 million, indicating a shift in investor attention from BTC to altcoins.

MACD and 4.5 Year Wedge Pattern Support Bullish Signal

Moustache also highlighted the MACD indicator on the ETH/BTC chart, which is currently showing a reversal pattern similar to those that have occurred in the past. Whenever this pattern appears, Ethereum usually leads the market towards the next big surge of altcoins.

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Even bigger, there is a giant falling wedge pattern on the ETH/BTC macro chart that has been forming for 4.5 years. If this wedge pattern is successfully broken to the upside, the impact could be huge and push up the entire altcoin market – not just Ethereum.

When will Altcoins Start Rallying?

With historical signals returning and institutional funds shifting to altcoins, Moustache believes that the altcoin bull market may have already quietly begun, and 2026 could potentially be a period of massive rallies for altcoins.

Meanwhile, the total crypto market capitalization (excluding Bitcoin) now stands at around $1.24 trillion, indicating a huge potential market that is ready for the next upside move.

FAQ

What is altcoin season?

The Altcoin Season is a period where cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin, such as Ethereum and Ripple, experience a significant and consistent increase in value.

Who is Moustache and why is his analysis important?

Moustache is a popular crypto analyst known for his accurate predictions regarding market trends. His analysis is important as it often provides early insight into potential market movements.

What is SMA100 and EMA100?

SMA100 is the Simple Moving Average for the last 100 days, while EMA100 is the Exponential Moving Average for the last 100 days. Both indicators are used to analyze market trends in trading.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coinpedia. Is Altcoin Season Starting? Analyst Says ETH/BTC Chart Mirrors 2017 Bull Run. Accessed on December 10, 2025