Bitcoin takes a hit from Trump’s 15% tariff hike, but rebound opportunities are still wide open!

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February 23, 2026
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Jakarta, Pintu News – The increase in US import tariffs announced by President Donald Trump on February 21 immediately shook global financial markets, including crypto assets such as Bitcoin (BTC). Within hours of the announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) surged close to $68,000, but was unable to maintain its positive momentum.

Ethereum (ETH) and the TOTAL3 index, which tracks the market capitalization of cryptocurrencies without Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), also declined, signaling selling pressure across almost all altcoins. This shows how sensitive the crypto market is to macroeconomic policies and global sentiment.

Import Tariffs Rise, US Dollar Strengthens, Crypto Under Pressure

Trump’s policy of raising global import tariffs to 15% directly triggered the strengthening of the US Dollar and made investors turn to safer assets. According to Wenny Cai, COO of SynFutures, the movement of Bitcoin (BTC) down to the $65,000 range is not only a matter of negative sentiment, but also due to changes in investor positions that now prefer low-risk instruments.

The tariff increase itself came after the court limited Trump’s use of emergency powers, although he continued to use other trade laws as a legal basis. However, some legal observers such as Adam Cochran argue that the rule limits the duration and scope of the tariffs, so their long-term effects are debatable.

On the other hand, the US stock market also experienced weakness, while demand for cash instruments and short-term bonds increased. This indicates that market participants are anticipating tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. The Fear and Greed index also fell to the “extreme fear” level, indicating that investors are increasingly wary and tend to refrain from buying. This situation reinforces the pressure on the crypto market, which has been known as a high-risk asset and is heavily influenced by global liquidity.

Also Read: Elon Musk on Silver: 5 Facts, Opinions, and Impact on Precious Metal Prices

Negative Sentiment Dominates, but Historical Data Gives Hope

Although the current market sentiment is extremely negative, historical data shows that this kind of pressure does not always last long. Economist Timothy Peterson revealed via platform X that since 2011, when at least half of the last two years have been positive, Bitcoin (BTC) has tended to rise in the following 10 months 88% of the time. On average, the price increase in that period can be as high as 82%, giving hope to long-term investors.

https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-slips-as-trump-raises-tariffs-to-15-but-recovery-is-still-possible/#:~:text=Timothy%20Peterson%20recently-,noted%20in%20an%20X%20post,-that%20the%20long

Peterson even predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) could potentially break $122,000 in the near future if this historical pattern repeats itself. This analysis provides a different perspective amidst the market panic, with many investors temporarily opting out. Although short-term pressure is still being felt, the opportunity for a rebound remains wide open if global sentiment begins to improve and liquidity flows back into crypto assets.

History shows that Bitcoin (BTC) often recovers quickly after periods of high volatility, especially when supported by positive long-term trends. Therefore, investors who are able to weather the storm will usually enjoy significant returns in the future.

Price Predictions and Potential Crypto Market Recovery

Taking into account historical data and expert analysis, the chances of a recovery in the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto assets are still very open. If the pattern of post-pressure rises that occurred in the past is repeated, then the $122,000 price target is not something impossible to achieve in the next few years.

However, investors still need to be aware of external factors such as monetary policy, geopolitics and regulatory changes that could trigger new volatility. Portfolio diversification and risk management are key in dealing with the current market uncertainty. In addition, the development of blockchain technology and institutional adoption will also be important catalysts for the future growth of the crypto market.

If global sentiment starts to improve and capital flows back into digital assets, then a price recovery could happen faster than expected. However, it is important to remember that crypto markets are highly dynamic and prone to sudden changes, so investment decisions should always be based on careful analysis. As such, the chance of a rebound remains, but caution remains a top priority.

Bitcoin (BTC) Still Has Hope Amid Economic Storms

Despite the looming pressure from tariff policies and global sentiment, historical data and expert analysis suggest that Bitcoin (BTC) and the crypto market in general still have a great chance to bounce back. Investors who are able to persevere and make decisions based on long-term data and analysis have the potential to make significant gains in the future.

With high volatility, the crypto market is full of risks, but it also offers tremendous opportunities for those who are up for the challenge. Ultimately, only time will tell how well Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies can weather the global economic storm.

Also Read: How to Play Bitcoin on HP for Beginners in 2026

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto dilakukan oleh PT Pintu Kemana Saja, suatu perusahaan Pedagang Aset Keuangan Digital yang berizin dan diawasi oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan serta merupakan anggota PT Central Finansial X (CFX) dan PT Kliring Komoditi Indonesia (KKI). Kegiatan perdagangan aset crypto adalah kegiatan berisiko tinggi. PT Pintu Kemana Saja tidak memberikan rekomendasi apa pun mengenai investasi dan/atau produk aset crypto. Pengguna wajib mempelajari secara hati-hati setiap hal yang berkaitan dengan perdagangan aset crypto (termasuk risiko terkait) dan penggunaan aplikasi. Semua keputusan perdagangan aset crypto dan/atau kontrak berjangka atas aset crypto merupakan keputusan mandiri pengguna.

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