3 Ethereum (ETH) April 2026 Scenarios: Up 18% or Down 30%?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The Ethereum (ETH) price entered April 2026 in quite a crucial state after months of pressure. ETH is currently trading above $2,000, potentially closing March with its first positive performance since August 2025. However, a number of technical and on-chain indicators point to downside risks that you need to be aware of in the crypto and cryptocurrency markets.

1. April Historically Bullish, Up 18% on Average

Historically, April is known to be a fairly strong month for Ethereum (ETH). Data shows that ETH has an average gain of around 18% and a median of around 9% during this month. If this pattern reoccurs, then ETH could potentially resume its positive trend after a long bearish period.

However, historical performance does not always guarantee future price movements. The current state of the crypto market is influenced by different technical and sentiment factors. Therefore, even if bullish opportunities exist, risks still need to be carefully calculated.

Also Read: Bitcoin ETF Facts Rp950 Trillion: Crypto Beats Gold as a Hedge?

2. Bearish Signal Emerges from Divergence and Holder

Although the price is showing a recovery, technical indicators such as the RSI are showing a hidden bearish divergence. This is a signal that the previous downtrend still has the potential to continue. The ascending channel pattern that forms after a big drop also often leads to a continuation of the bearish trend.

In addition, on-chain data shows a significant decline in long-term holder accumulation of up to 78%. A similar pattern had previously triggered a price drop of 46%. This suggests that investor confidence is starting to weaken in the cryptocurrency market.

3. Whale Starts Selling, Risk Drops to IDR 22 Million

Whale movement is also an important indicator in crypto analysis. After accumulating ETH, large investors began to reduce holdings towards the end of March. This signaled a potential weakening of demand in the market.

Some important levels that you need to pay attention to:

• Resistance: $2,200 (IDR 37.4 million)
• Strong resistance: $2,390 (IDR 40.6 million)
• Support: $2,000 (IDR 34 million)
• Target drop: $1,350 (IDR 22.95 million)

If the price drops below $2,000, a potential correction of up to 30% becomes more realistic. Conversely, a breakout above $2,200 could open up further upside opportunities.

Conclusion: ETH at a Decision Point

Ethereum (ETH) is currently in an important phase that will determine the direction of the market in the near future. On the one hand, historical factors point to a potential upswing in April. But on the other hand, technical and on-chain indicators are signaling caution.

For you, understanding these two sides is crucial in making decisions in the crypto market. A data-driven approach and risk management will help you deal with the high volatility of cryptocurrencies. With proper analysis, you can capitalize on opportunities without ignoring potential risks.

Also Read: 5 Facts about Bitcoin Rp1.13 Billion: When Everything is Bearish, Is it a Bullish Signal?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Ananda Banerjee/BeInCrypto. Ethereum Price Prediction: What To Expect From ETH in April 2026. Accessed March 31, 2026