Impact of Cardano (ADA) Futures Contract Launch on Crypto Market March 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – Coinbase Derivatives has applied to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for permission to launch Cardano (ADA) futures. If approved, trading in ADA futures will begin on March 31, 2025.

This launch is an important milestone for the Cardano ecosystem, as futures contracts allow investors to take leveraged positions, which can increase market liquidity and volatility. However, the question is: will the futures launch trigger an ADA price rally or will it be a moment of correction?

How Did the Market React to the Launch of ADA Futures?

1. Increased Open Interest, but Market Sentiment Still Mixed

Data from Coinglass shows that open interest in the Cardano derivatives market spiked ahead of the futures launch, reaching around IDR 12.68 trillion ($778 million). This increase suggests that traders started speculating on ADA price movements before the futures were officially launched.

However, the data also shows moments of negative funding rates, indicating that there are many traders taking short positions (betting on price declines). When there is a balance between large long and short positions, market volatility tends to increase.

Also Read: Ethereum Prediction: Recovery or Bearish Signal? Here’s the Mid-March 2025 Technical Analysis!

2. ADA Price Still in Consolidation

Currently, the price of ADA is hovering around IDR11,899 ($0.73), but it has not been able to break the key resistance level at themoving average. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at neutral levels, indicating that the market is yet to show strong bullish or bearish momentum.

History shows that major announcements such as the launch of futures often drive price increases in the short term, but the long-term trend depends heavily on broader market conditions and new liquidity flows.

How Can Futures Launch Affect ADA Price?

Bullish Scenario: Potential Price Rally

If open interest continues to increase and the funding rate becomes positive, this could be an indication that investors are increasingly optimistic about the future of ADA. In this scenario, the price of ADA could rise significantly, especially if there is a surge in trading volume after the futures are officially launched.

Bearish Scenario: Potential Post-Launch Correction

Conversely, if the funding rate remains negative and open interest starts to decline after the launch, this could be a sign that traders are starting to sell-the-news, i.e. selling the asset after big news is announced. In this case, ADA could experience selling pressure causing the price to drop.

Conclusion: What to Watch Out For?

The launch of ADA futures on March 31, 2025 is expected to increase market volatility and liquidity. However, whether this will trigger a price rally or a correction still depends on the reaction of investors and institutions once the futures are officially traded.

Traders and investors will need to monitor funding rate developments, open interest, and price movements leading up to and after the launch. If the funding rate turns positive and trading volumes increase, ADA could potentially experience a price rally. However, if the market shows signs of sell-the-news, there is a possibility of greater selling pressure.

Also Read: XRP Predictions and Impact on Crypto Market: 8% Drop After Positive Trend March 2025

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• AMB Crypto. Cardano Futures to Go Live Soon – Will It Change ADA’s Market Outlook? (Accessed March 17, 2025).
• Featured Image: Crypto Rank