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Jakarta, Pintu News – With the big price spikes in early to mid-2025, many market participants are starting to ask: “When will the 2025 crypto bear market start?”. After a long period of gains that pushed Bitcoin and altcoin prices to new highs, there are signs that the market is starting to lose steam.
Several technical indicators suggest selling pressure is mounting, and a correction of more than 20% from the yearly high is starting to raise concerns that a major downward phase could soon begin.
There are a number of factors that often trigger the beginning of a bear market phase in the crypto world. First, a sharp correction in the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is often a key signal. A drop of around 25-30% from the annual high is usually considered an early indication of a change in market trend. In addition, the market capitalization of altcoins also shows a significant decline, signaling the beginning of a rotation of funds out of risky assets.
External factors such as US interest rate policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and global liquidity play a big role in accelerating the correction phase. When high interest rates persist longer and the US dollar strengthens, investors tend to exit risky assets like cryptocurrencies. This combination of technical and macro pressures is often the starting point of a bear market.
Also read: How to Read Crypto Charts?

Historically, the crypto market moves in a four-year cycle relating to the Bitcoin halving event. Typically, a bullish phase occurs about a year after the halving, followed by a period of consolidation, and finally entering a bear market the following year. Based on this pattern, a potential bear market is likely to emerge between late 2025 and early 2026.
However, some analysts believe that the first signals have been visible since mid-2025. Bitcoin’s price drop below important support levels and the start of large distribution actions by institutional investors are signs that the uptrend is losing momentum. However, crypto markets are notoriously dynamic – a change in sentiment or global monetary policy could slow or speed up the arrival of the next downward phase.
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Going through a bear market phase does not necessarily mean that investors should exit the market completely. In many cases, it is a time to revisit investment strategies and consider long-term asset accumulation while prices are at lower levels. A wise approach includes diversifying portfolios, maintaining liquidity, and avoiding excessive leverage to remain stable amid market volatility.
In addition, monitoring on-chain indicators such as active wallet activity, transaction volume, and asset movement from exchanges to private wallets can provide insight into changes in market sentiment.
Disciplined risk management practices, including the use of stop-losses and utilizing stablecoins as hedging tools, can also help investors maintain a balanced portfolio during periods of uncertainty.
While there is no certainty about when the 2025 crypto bear market will begin, a number of indicators suggest that the market is beginning to be in the final stages of a bullish cycle. If historical patterns repeat themselves, selling pressure could intensify in the second half of 2025 and into early 2026.
The bear market phase is not the end of the world, but rather a natural part of the crypto market cycle. With the right strategy – a focus on risk management, gradual accumulation, and macro trend monitoring – investors can take this downturn as an opportunity to prepare for the next up cycle.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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