Could Bitcoin & Ethereum Explode? Here’s How Trump–Iran Diplomacy Could Impact Crypto Prices in 2026

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market is back on the move amid rising global geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding the relationship between the United States and Iran. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed limited recovery after being pressured by macroeconomic uncertainty.

At the start of April 2026, BTC was hovering around $66,552, while ETH was trading at around $1,998. This rise reflects the cryptocurrency market’s response to geopolitical developments and institutional fund flows coming back in.

Trump-Iran Diplomacy Triggers Global Uncertainty

President Donald Trump extended the deadline for diplomacy with Iran by 10 days, which had an immediate impact on global market sentiment. This decision was taken amid ongoing negotiations, especially regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz, which is a vital route for world energy trade.

The postponement of a potential attack on Iran’s energy infrastructure until April 6, 2026 gave the market room to respond more calmly. However, the risk of conflict remains high as reports of a planned ground invasion could last up to two months.

These tensions were further heightened after an Iranian missile attack injured more than 15 Americans at a military base in Saudi Arabia. If the conflict escalates, disruptions to Iran’s oil exports, particularly from Kharg Island, could trigger a spike in global energy prices. This could potentially increase inflation and exacerbate economic uncertainty. In this context, cryptoassets and cryptocurrencies are often seen as an alternative hedge against geopolitical risks.

Also read: Solana can reach Rp1.6 million? This is the scenario if Bitcoin soars to $80,000!

Crypto prices rise on hopes of de-escalation

The cryptocurrency market is showing recovery after two days of high volatility, fueled by hopes of conflict de-escalation. Bitcoin (BTC) broke through the $68,000 level again, while Ethereum (ETH) managed to stay above $2,000. The global crypto market capitalization rose by around 1.29% to $2.36 trillion or equivalent to Rp40,157 trillion. This increase reflects the relief rally triggered by changes in geopolitical sentiment.

Support from countries such as the United Arab Emirates to maintain the stability of the Strait of Hormuz also boosted investor confidence. In addition, the market is also waiting for Trump’s official statement regarding a possible truce with Iran. If tensions ease, risky assets like crypto could potentially experience further gains. However, volatility remains high as external factors still dominate market movements.

Read also: Gold Jewelry Price Gallery24 Today, April 3, 2026

ETF Fund Flows Strengthen Bullish Sentiment

One of the major factors supporting the crypto market is the increasing inflow of funds into ETF products. As of March 31, 2026, Bitcoin spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $118 million or around Rp2 trillion. Meanwhile, Ethereum-based ETF products also recorded inflows of $31.17 million or around Rp529 billion. This data shows that institutional investors are still actively accumulating cryptocurrency assets.

These fund flows are often early indicators of changes in overall market sentiment. When institutions start coming in, the market tends to follow the same direction in the medium term. Additionally, the existence of ETFs provides easier access for traditional investors to enter the crypto market. This strengthens the legitimacy of cryptocurrencies as an increasingly globally accepted asset class.

Also read: Gold Price vs. Bitcoin: Middle East Geopolitical Tensions Change Global Investment Direction

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Predictions 2026

In the short term, Bitcoin (BTC) is still moving in a consolidation phase amid global uncertainty. The main support level is at $60,000 or around Rp1.02 billion, while strong resistance is at $72,500 or Rp1.23 billion. If BTC manages to break through the resistance, the potential for an increase towards $75,000 or around Rp1.27 billion is increasingly open. However, a drop below the support could trigger further selling pressure.

Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) moves in the support range of $2,000 to $2,100 or around IDR 33.99 million to IDR 35.69 million. If selling pressure increases, ETH has the potential to drop to $1,910 or around IDR 32.47 million. Conversely, if the bullish momentum strengthens again, the price of ETH can rise to the range of $2,300 to $2,500 or around Rp39.10 million to Rp42.49 million. This movement is heavily influenced by macro conditions and global market sentiment.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• CoinGape. Top 2 Price Prediction 2026 for Ethereum and Bitcoin After Trump’s Iran Diplomacy Ends. Accessed April 3, 2026
• Featured Image: Generated by AI