Raoul Pal’s forecast: Bitcoin Bull Market Could Continue Until 2026, Here’s Why!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Raoul Pal, leading macro analyst and founder of Real Vision, recently put forward a prediction that the ongoing Bitcoin (BTC) bull market could continue until 2026. Through an analysis of various macroeconomic indicators, historical price behavior, and liquidity metrics, Pal described a scenario that supports a prolonged uptrend for the digital asset.

Bull Market Relationship with Global M2 Money Supply

Pal emphasized the importance of Global M2 money supply, a metric that measures the total liquidity circulating around the world. According to him, Bitcoin (BTC) and other risky assets tend to correlate closely with changes in Global M2. “If M2 continues to increase throughout the year, then cryptocurrencies and risk assets such as technology will perform well,” Pal said.

Comparing the current liquidity trend to that of 2017-when the US dollar weakened and equity markets soared in the early days of US President Donald Trump’s presidency-Pal argues that the current macro backdrop appears poised for expansion. If major economies continue to ease, this could trigger the next phase of explosive growth for crypto.

Also Read: The Burning of 20 Million SHIBs: Will Shiba Inu Prices Skyrocket? (7/3/25)

Extending the Cycle to 2026

One of Pal’s most prominent statements was that the current cycle could continue until 2026, instead of peaking in 2025 as many analysts projected. His reasoning is based on a long period of economic stagnation before the growth acceleration.

“The business cycle took a long time under 50. Now it is starting to expand. That may have extended the cycle to 2026,” Pal explained. While he clarifies that this is not a prediction but a working hypothesis, the implications could be significant. A longer cycle would allow for higher valuations, a sustained influx of investment, and a gradual market peak rather than a sudden boom.

Warnings and Advice for Investors

Pal reminded that crypto markets follow a predictable pattern, with exponential growth zones that last for a year which he called “banana zones”. He noted that the current correction phase is in line with past cycles and should lead to a new rally in April-May.

“Now we are in the first correction phase […] Then as we go into March, April, May, we start accelerating again into the next phase of the banana zone,” Pal said. However, he warned that investors should expect another major correction before the final market peak, cautioning to avoid over-leveraging and late-cycle euphoria.

Conclusion

Concluding his views, Pal emphasized the importance of keeping perspective and avoiding emotion-driven trading. He emphasized the importance of long-term vision, proper portfolio construction, and patience: “What investors need most is patience and an understanding of the market […] Our future depends on the same.”

Also Read: Litecoin (LTC) Hit a Record High, Will the Price Surge? (7/3/25)

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• NewsBTC. Raoul Pal: Bitcoin Bull Market Could Extend to 2026, Here’s Why. Accessed on March 6, 2025
• Featured Image: The Coin Republic