Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) has recently shown significant price fluctuations, briefly touching above $106,000 before stabilizing around $103,000. This volatility indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a long way to go before it reaches its price peak. The Macro Decode Trend Oscillator (MTO) is emerging as a promising predictive tool to know when the Bitcoin (BTC) price peak cycle will occur.
The Decode Macro Trend Oscillator is a powerful tool designed by Bitcoin (BTC) analysts known as Decode on the X social media platform. The tool incorporates around 40 macroeconomic indicators that include interest rates, global liquidity, industrial production, and market volatility.
These indicators are distilled down to 17 key metrics which are then normalized and visualized in the form of a histogram to produce a cyclic pattern. This pattern has been shown to align with the cyclical peaks of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
The light-green histogram on the chart marks each peak of the Bitcoin (BTC) cycle, and the change from the dark red zone to green signals the end of the bearish phase and the start of the price rally. Currently, the histogram is still in the dark red zone with the latest reading at -11.47, suggesting that macroeconomic conditions may soon favor a major rally for Bitcoin (BTC).
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Decode’s analysis is not just limited to Bitcoin (BTC) specific indicators. In one of the accompanying charts of the S&P 500 Index with a 2-month time frame, a long-term comparison is made between the current global environment and the economic backdrop of the late 1980s and early 1990s. Decode’s macro trend oscillator proved to be reliable in forecasting periods of recession and expansion in both cases.
When the histogram moves into the green zone, the economy and price enter a prolonged expansion phase. The third chart offers a more detailed view of Bitcoin (BTC) weekly trends, including the overlap of M2 money supply growth, another popular monetary metric. In a configuration called “Bitcoin (BTC) Mode”, the Macro Trend Oscillator adjusts its sensitivity to metrics that directly affect the crypto market.
Although Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied in recent months, the histogram still shows a negative red zone. It is yet to see the dark green histogram that would mark the peak of the cycle.
Based on this setup, the Oscillator shows that Bitcoin (BTC) still has a lot of room to move in this cycle, and the price peak is unlikely to occur in 2025. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $103,300, showing temporary stability but also potential for further upside.
Using Decode’s Macro Trend Oscillator, investors and analysts can gain deeper insights into when Bitcoin (BTC) price peak cycles might occur. The tool not only provides predictions based on current market conditions but also offers a historical perspective that can help in making more informed investment decisions.
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