Jakarta, Pintu News – The price of XRP has experienced a significant drop in recent days, erasing most of the gains made throughout May and changing the direction of movement from an uptrend to a downtrend ahead of June.
As we enter the final month of the second quarter (Q2), traders and investors are now wondering if the downward trend will continue or if there is a chance for recovery.
Historically, June has been a challenging period for XRP investors. Data for the past 11 years shows that the median monthly return of XRP in June is -8.49%.
Read also: Ripple’s Big Deal: 630 Million XRP Moved, What Happened?
This pattern indicates that June is likely to be less favorable for asset holders hoping for profits, especially after the recent losses.

This consistent historical trend suggests that XRP will likely continue to face selling pressure in June.
Investors are advised to be cautious, as the usual seasonal weakness could exacerbate the current bearish sentiment and further depress the altcoin’s price.
Looking at broader market signals, the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric showed a sharp spike. CDD measures the total number of days a coin’s holdings are “destroyed” by selling activity, mainly fromlong-term holders ( LTHs).
This metric is calculated by multiplying the number of coins moved in a transaction by the number of days the coins were held since they were last moved. For example, if 100 coins are held for 10 days before being sold, then the CDD is 1,000 (100 × 10 days).
Currently, XRP’s CDD stands at 337 billion-the highest level since December 2024. This surge suggests that many LTHs are starting to sell their XRP holdings, most likely to secure profits before the price drops further.

This wave of selling from experienced investors reflects declining confidence in XRP’s ability to rally again in the near future.
Given that LTH is usually considered to be the strong foundation of an asset, a sell-off of this group could potentially have a negative impact on prices.
Nevertheless, XRP still has one positive catalyst, which is the expiration of the SEC lawsuit. Scheduled to be finalized in the near future, this is considered a major development for XRP.
Alexis Sirkia, Captain of Yellow, in his interview with BeInCrypto, stated that he believes this will be an important trigger in accelerating Ripple’s ICO launch.
Read also: XRP Price Prediction June 2025: XRP Potential to Surge to $5?
“Of course, everyone is waiting for the end of the SEC lawsuit and the launch of Ripple’s ICO. Ripple is the largest crypto owner in this space, even bigger than Strategy. By controlling 50% of XRP supply, if Ripple becomes a public company, it will be an attractive investment with over 120 billion USD of XRP in treasury-more than double Microstrategy’s holdings. Ripple would be the largest crypto-owning public company in the world, and I believe this would attract attention and investment which could have a positive impact on the price of XRP,” Sirkia said.
XRP has been on a downward trend since mid-May and is currently trading at $2.16. Although the altcoin is still above the important support level of $2.12, the outlook ahead points to the potential for further declines as the bearish momentum strengthens.
If XRP breaks below the $2.12 support, it could fall to $2.02, and if it fails to hold that level, it could drop further to $1.94. This would be the lowest level in the past two months and would likely trigger more selling pressure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator which is currently below the neutral line in a bearish zone also reinforces this view, signaling a weak buying impulse.
However, there is one factor that could potentially reverse the altcoin’s course in the near future if it does happen, and that is the launch of the XRP ETF. This ETF is one of the most anticipated, although it is currently yet to receive official approval.
If approved, the ETF is expected to attract large investments into XRP.
However, according to Alexis Sirkia, the next big possible development for XRP is not an ETF.
“At the moment there seems to be a shift in interest away from ETFs like Grayscale whose holdings are declining rapidly, while companies like Strategy that hold Bitcoin are growing and adding to their holdings. So new entrants to the XRP world like Hyperscale or VivoPower may become more relevant than XRP ETFs when they are approved. And as MicroStrategy (now Strategy) has shown, it may not really matter if it is an ETF, as long as investors have the option to invest indirectly into XRP,” Sirkia said.
Such exposure could certainly help boost the price of XRP significantly. Also, if retail investors start accumulating XRP sold by long-term investors, XRP has a chance to bounce off the $2.12 support.
If it manages to break the resistance at $2.27, then the bearish scenario could be invalidated, and XRP prices could potentially push to $2.50.
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