Jakarta, Pintu News – The ETH/BTC ratio, used by traders to measure the relative strength of Ethereum (ETH) against Bitcoin (BTC), has been in a narrow consolidation range since mid-May. This highlights Ethereum’s performance which continues to lag behind the market leader.
While this stagnation reflects declining investor interest in ETH, it also signals a delay in the start of the altcoin season as a whole.
Based on the daily chart (6/19), the ETH/BTC ratio has been moving in a narrow range since May 13. The ratio faces resistance at 0.026 and finds support at 0.023.
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This ratio measures the price performance of ETH relative to BTC, showing which asset is experiencing a faster increase in value.
Historically, a sustained rise in the ETH/BTC ratio is often a precursor to a broader altcoin rally, as ETH typically leads the movement of capital from BTC to other cryptocurrencies.
However, the current flattening trend suggests that traders are still risk-averse and choose to remain concentrated on BTC, especially amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
This trend is important to watch as it raises concerns that the long-awaited altcoin season could see further delays.
In a post on X on June 18, an analyst named Crypto Fella emphasized that the ETH/BTC chart is “the most important chart to watch” for anyone anticipating the return of altcoin season.
A reading of the chart shows the ETH/BTC pair hovering around the 0.024 level-the area where the bottom of the previous cycle was formed. A similar structure in 2019 and 2020 showed that ETH briefly bounced strongly against BTC after a long period of lagging performance.
However, as highlighted by Crypto Fella, “we need to see some strength before a major reversal actually happens.”
As such, a convincing breakout above the 0.026 key resistance is crucial to mark the start of a broader altcoin revival.
Furthermore, based on data from the Altcoin Season Index, the market is currently still in a BTC-dominated phase. An altcoin season usually begins when at least 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform BTC within a three-month period.
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However, only 25% have managed to do so in the last 90 days, which shows the lagging performance of altcoins and indicates that a true altcoin season is likely still quite a while away.
ETH traded at $2,521 on June 19, registering a slight gain of 0.15%. On the daily chart of ETH/USD, the altcoin is below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), confirming the strength of bearish sentiment amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The 20-day EMA measures the average price of an asset over the last 20 trading days, giving greater weight to recent prices.
When the price moves below the 20-day EMA, it signals short-term bearish momentum and indicates that selling pressure is dominating.

If this trend continues, ETH is at risk of dropping to the $2,424 level.
However, if demand increases, ETH prices could potentially break above its 20-day EMA and bounce back towards $2,745.
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This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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