5 Big Agendas that Could Shake the Crypto Market by the End of 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – As the final quarter of 2025 approaches, the cryptocurrency market faces a series of key events that have great potential to trigger volatility or even start new trends.

From the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), to the Solana and Cardano ETF deadlines, market participants are urged to prepare for a variety of possibilities. Here are five key agenda items to keep an eye on.

1. September 16-17: FOMC Meeting – Interest Rates to Catalyze Crypto Liquidity

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be held on September 16-17, with strong expectations of a 25 basis point interest rate cut. According to Yahoo Finance, the probability of this cut stands at 92% based on futures market prices, supported by dovish statements from Fed officials regarding the slowing labor market and inflationary pressures.

Interest rate cuts typically weaken the value of the US dollar, thus benefiting riskier assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins. However, if the cuts are delayed or less aggressive, the market could experience a “risk-off” sentiment that is negative for crypto.

Also Read: Can Ripple (XRP) Make Investors Millionaires? Here Are the Prospects According to Analysts!

2. October 10: Solana ETF Deadline – Potential Jumpstart for SOL and Altcoins

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is scheduled to give its final decision on the spot ETF filing for Solana (SOL) on October 10. According to Bitcoinist, analysts estimate the probability of approval at 95%, assuming it follows in the footsteps of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

If approved, this ETF could strengthen Solana’s position as a legitimate digital commodity and trigger large institutional fund flows. However, rejection could pressure SOL and worsen sentiment towards other altcoins.

3. October 23: Cardano ETF Final Decision – Impact Could Be Billions of Rupiahs

After Solana, Cardano (ADA) is also awaiting the SEC’s decision on the ETF filing by Grayscale. The final deadline is scheduled for October 23. Based on Polymarket reported by CoinMarketCap, the chances of approval are at 75%.

If the ETF is approved, Cardano could potentially receive an inflow of funds of more than Rp16.4 trillion ($1 billion), mimicking the impact of previous Bitcoin ETFs. However, rejection could reinforce the negative perception of non-Bitcoin projects in institutional portfolios.

4. December 3-4: Binance Blockchain Week Dubai – A Stage for Innovation and Regulation

The annual Binance Blockchain Week event will be held in Dubai, with over 7,000 attendees and keynote speakers such as CZ (founder of Binance) and Joseph Lubin (Co-founder of Ethereum). Topics to be discussed include DeFi, AI, and global regulatory developments.

According to a report from Coingabbar, these events are often the venue for major partnership announcements and important policies. The potential impact is high, especially if there are announcements related to the integration of new technologies or government support for blockchain infrastructure.

5. December 22: Bitcoin Cycle Peak Prediction – Will BTC Touch IDR3.3 Billion?

Based on Bitcoin’s historical cycle model, the price peak is predicted to occur at the end of December 2025 with a potential price of IDR3.3 billion ($200,000) per BTC. However, veteran analysts like Peter Brandt estimate a 30% chance that the peak has already been reached first.

If these projections are correct, the period leading up to December could be characterized by massive profit-taking and increased volatility. Monitoring ETF inflows and BTC balances on exchanges will be important indicators in verifying these movements.

Market Enters Decisive Phase

From the Fed’s interest rate decision to the possible approval of Solana and Cardano ETFs, the crypto market will face some major triggers in the next few months.

Currently, Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 57.3%, and the Altcoin Season Index indicator is still neutral. Market participants are advised to monitor macroeconomic policy direction, ETF volumes, and key technical signals as a guide to the end of the year.

Also Read: 4 Interesting Facts Why 1 in 4 Brits are Interested in Crypto Investment for Retirement Funds

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• CoinMarketCap. ADA ETF Odds and Impact. Accessed September 1, 2025