Can Bitcoin (BTC) Price Reach $200,000 by 2025?

Updated
September 10, 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors and chief investment officer at Fundstrat Capital, recently stated that Bitcoin (BTC) could potentially reach a price of $200,000 before the end of 2025. In an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Lee emphasized that the policy decisions that will be made by the Federal Reserve will largely determine the future direction of the crypto market.

The Federal Reserve’s Impact on the Market

According to Lee, the latest jobs data showing a weakening labor market has affected bond market expectations. Currently, the bond market is expecting three rate cuts this year, which is more than the two cuts projected by the Fed. These rate cuts are expected to have a positive impact on the crypto market.

Financial markets are highly responsive to the policies adopted by the Federal Reserve, especially when it comes to interest rates. Lower interest rate policies will usually encourage investors to seek out assets with higher potential returns, including Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies. This explains why Fed policy changes are highly anticipated by market participants.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Performance in the Fourth Quarter

Lee added that Bitcoin (BTC) tends to perform well in the fourth quarter of each year, especially when the Federal Reserve starts to move towards an easing policy. He cited examples from 1998 and 2024, where cycles of interest rate cuts coincided with sharp rises in equity and crypto values.

In some cases, the fourth quarter is a crucial moment for Bitcoin (BTC) to start a major rally. This is supported by historical data showing that this period is often followed by increased investor interest and high market speculation. This creates an ideal environment for Bitcoin (BTC) to grow in value.

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Future Projections and Supporting Factors

While the $200,000 price prediction may sound very optimistic, factors such as Federal Reserve policies and dynamic global economic conditions could make it a reality. Lee emphasized that investors should pay attention to various macroeconomic indicators and monetary policies that could affect the crypto market.

In addition, the adoption of blockchain technology and improved infrastructure in the crypto sector have also played an important role in supporting the rise in Bitcoin (BTC) price. As blockchain-based applications and services develop, the demand for Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies is expected to continue to increase, which in turn could drive the market price.

Conclusion

Taking all these factors into account, Tom Lee’s projection of Bitcoin’s (BTC) potential price increase to $200,000 by 2025 is based not only on speculation, but also an in-depth analysis of market trends and economic policies. This shows the importance of understanding market dynamics and policy influences to make informed investment decisions.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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