3 Altcoins Brace for Token Unlocks in the Wake of Fed’s Rate Cut — Can Bulls Hold the Line?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The latest interest rate cut by the Fed brought a breath of fresh air to financial markets, boosting liquidity as well as risk appetite across various assets.

Amidst this, the upcoming token unlock agenda is starting to catch the attention of market participants. For projects like VELO, Kaito (KAITO), and Optimism (OP), this moment has the potential to be an important catalyst – either pushing prices higher or triggering a correction.

Here’s a review of each token’s outlook, supported by technical analysis, according to CCN.

Velo (VELO)

VELO is preparing to unlock 182 million tokens – equivalent to 0.84% of the total outstanding supply – on September 20. Despite the sizeable amount, the market has already started to show signs of stress ahead of this event.

Read also: 3 Signs Suggest Dogecoin’s $0.41 Breakout Is Only Delayed, Not Impossible

On September 21, VELO was trading at $0.015, down about 5.50% in the last few days. On the 4-hour chart (9/21), the Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator dipped below its 50.00 signal line, indicating selling pressure is starting to outweigh buying interest.

This opens up the possibility of downward pressure on the price, both before and after the unlock takes place, especially since VELO has not shown enough signs of new demand to absorb the additional supply. If this trend continues, the token price could drop to the $0.012 range.

However, this prediction could be challenged if the buying volume suddenly increases and is able to neutralize the effect of additional supply. In such a scenario, the VELO price has a chance to rebound to around $0.018 to test short-term resistance.

Kaito (KAITO)

Back in August, KAITO experienced a major unlock with the release of 23.35 million tokens, which made the token price drop by about 11.5% after the event.

Now, on September 20, 2025, there will be a further unlock of 8.35 million tokens – equivalent to 3.15% of the total outstanding supply.

As of August 21, KAITO’s price stood at $1.16. On the daily chart, the token is forming a falling wedge pattern with trending lower highs and lower lows. However, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has dropped below zero, signaling that capital outflows are greater than inflows.

If the selling pressure due to the unlock gets stronger, the price of KAITO risks dropping to around $0.96 to retest the support area.

On the other hand, various ecosystem incentives – such as creator rewards, airdrops, and staking – can help cushion the negative impact by keeping users engaged. In addition, strong community sentiment, plus improved engagement metrics and platform updates, could potentially provide additional support.

If these factors hold, KAITO has a chance to break the falling wedge ‘s upper trend line and resume its rally towards $1.53.

Read also: The Top 3 Crypto Narratives Set to Dominate the Altcoin Scene in 2025

Optimism (OP)

Optimism’s (OP) unlock schedule is not done all at once, but through a periodic vesting system with both cliff and linear unlocks. For example, on August 31, 2025, a total of 31.34 million OPs were released to the market – approximately 1.79% of the outstanding supply.

Furthermore, on September 21, 2025, there will be a larger unlock of 116 million OPs or about 2.7% of the total supply.

On September 21, 2025, OP’s price was at an important support area. However, on the daily chart, the token looks trapped in a symmetrical triangle pattern with trading volume continuing to decline.

Since unlocks are repetitive, the cumulative supply pressure continues to increase. If demand is unable to absorb this additional supply, OP risks breaking the lower trend line of the triangle. In this scenario, the market value could fall below $0.60, opening up the potential for a deeper decline.

Conversely, if there is a new influx of liquidity into the market – especially if the Fed actually confirms the rate cut – OP’s price has a chance to shoot up sharply. This bullish scenario could take OP up towards $1.44, as well as out of the current consolidation phase.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• CCN. 3 Altcoins Facing Token Unlocks After Fed Rate Cut – Boom or Bloodbath Ahead. Accessed on September 22, 2025