US Bitcoin Reserve Legislation: How Will It Impact Bitcoin Price?

Jakarta, Pintu News – On September 23, 2025, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) approached $113,000, recovering from a sharp mid-month correction. US policy underwent a dramatic shift this year, especially after President Trump issued an executive order to establish a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve in March.

Although the reserve already has around 198,000 BTC of seized assets, the defining moment will come if Congress passes legislation to solidify and expand it.

Congressional Debate

Congress is currently considering several scenarios regarding the Bitcoin Reserve. If Congress only confirms the executive order without a purchase mandate, the Reserve will become more difficult to overturn politically. This would strengthen the flow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs and reduce policy risk.

However, if Congress passes the required accumulation program, government demand will outstrip new supply, which could result in a significant increase in Bitcoin price.

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Fundamental Changes with Mandatory Bitcoin Purchases

Post-block reward cuts, new Bitcoin issuance is at around 164,250 BTC per year (around 450 per day). If Congress mandates the purchase of 200,000 BTC per year (about 550 per day), this will exceed the new supply.

Unless long-term holders or miners sell aggressively, government demand will have to withdraw coins from OTC balances and exchanges. This would create significant price pressure and possibly trigger a rapid price increase.

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Four Bitcoin Backup Scenarios to Consider

First, if Congress only confirms the executive order, it will reinforce the policy without adding significant demand. Second, if there is a mandate with slow Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA), daily demand will be greater than new supply, which will push prices up gradually. Third, if large purchases are made at the outset, this will quickly deplete OTC stocks and encourage the Ministry of Finance to transact directly on the exchange market, which could lead to price spikes. Fourth, a diluted compromise would probably only cause a brief price spike without significant long-term impact.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• BeInCrypto. Bitcoin Price Prediction: US Congress Reserve Law. Accessed on September 24, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by AI