Uptober 2025: Could Bitcoin and Ethereum Be Poised for a Rally After an Early Dip?

Jakarta, Pintu News – October, widely known in crypto circles as “Uptober”, has historically been the most bullish month for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), with average returns of nearly 21%.

However, according to renowned trader Ash Crypto, this year’s journey may not be as smooth as usual. He believes that the market is forming a trap that could shake up many retail traders before the real big moves begin.

This is the reason why he thinks so.

Decline Warning in Mid-October

According to Ash, the first half of October might deceive traders with the impression that “PUMPtober” is really happening.

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However, bearish technical indicators such as the 4-day moving average crossover on Bitcoin suggest a potential price correction to around $105,000, while Ethereum is expected to drop close to $3,800 between October 15-20.

Analysts note that many investors who started accumulating positions since late summer are now starting to realize profits, triggering short-term volatility and sell-offs. According to Ash, this will cause many overconfident traders-especially retailers-to be liquidated for entering the market too soon.

However, this sharp correction is seen as preparation for the next big move. By “cleansing” the market of weak hands, room for a stronger rally is created.

Fourth Quarter Could Explode

Ash predicts that once traders turn pessimistic and short positions start piling up, the market will reverse.

He predicts that in the last ten days of October, there will be a major breakout that could push Bitcoin prices up to the $150,000-$180,000 range, and Ethereum towards $8,000-$12,000.

Since its inception, Bitcoin has recorded monthly gains in October 73% of the time, with an average gain of around 29%. In 10 of the last 12 Octobers, Bitcoin has always generated positive returns, including a 28.5% jump in 2023 and a 10.8% jump in 2024.

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Ash also predicts that this rally will be the trigger for the start of the long-awaited altcoin season, where some selected altcoins could potentially rise 10 to 50 times in the next 3 to 4 months.

Anticipatory Strategy

Although Ash has placed 85% of his funds in the market, he still keeps 15% in cash. This strategy allows him to benefit if the market goes up immediately, but is also ready to capitalize on buying opportunities when a correction occurs first.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coinpedia. Coinpedia. Uptober 2025 Forecast: Top Analyst Predicts Early Dip Before Bitcoin & Ethereum Rally. Accessed on October 3, 2025