XRP Shows Bullish Signal as Selling Pressure Drops 82% — Just a 5% Push Away from Breakout

Jakarta, Pintu News – As of October 20, 2025, the price of XRP (XRP) had risen 5% and was trading around $2.46, extending its short-term recovery. However, in the last 30 days, the token is still down 18%, signaling that a full recovery has not fully taken place.

Recent on-chain trends show that one group is starting to reduce selling pressure, while another important group is adding to XRP holdings – a sign that confidence is starting to return. Even so, everything still hinges on one key XRP price level.

Holders Start Selling Rarely, Short-Term Investors Step In

The Hodler Net Position Change indicator, which measures the amount of XRP raised or sold by long-term holders, showed a fairly positive change in investor behavior. Between October 16 and 17, long-term holders sold a large amount, bringing this metric down to -18.57 million XRP.

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However, on October 19, the net outflow was drastically reduced to -3.28 million XRP, reflecting a decrease in selling pressure of over 82%. Since then, the price of XRP has started to move up more aggressively.

This suggests that long-term investors are no longer selling heavily, possibly because they are preparing for a potential price recovery.

On the other hand, the group of XRP holders in the 1-week to 1-month timeframe – who are typically short-term traders – actually increased their holdings of the total XRP supply, from 1.94% on October 5 to 3.97% on October 19.

This HODL Waves metric shows that short-term groups are now starting to hold (even add) to their holdings, rather than exit the market.

HODL Waves itself describes how large a percentage of the coin supply is held by investors based on the length of time it is held.

The combination of reduced selling pressure from long-term holders and renewed accumulation from short-term investors provides a more positive outlook for XRP prices.

XRP Price Needs 5.4% Rise and Retail Support to Break Higher

Technically speaking (10/20), the price of XRP finally broke through a key resistance level at $2.43 – a level that had been limiting recovery efforts throughout the beginning of this month. The next hurdle is at $2.59, about 5.4% above the current price, and is the next important resistance.

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If XRP prices are able to print a daily candle close above $2.59, then it could be a breakout signal that paves the way towards the $2.81 and $3.10 levels – two important levels based on Fibonacci retracements.

However, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures buying pressure, has shown a downward trend since October 6. This indicates that retail investor participation remains weak despite rising prices.

For this bullish scenario to actually materialize, it would require increased buying activity from small traders. Conversely, if the XRP price fails to hold above $2.43, a drop below $2.27 could invalidate the bullish projection. In that scenario, the price risks dropping further to the $2.08 or even $1.76 area.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• BeInCrypto. XRP Price 5 Percent Away From Rally. Accessed on October 21, 2025