Jakarta, Pintu News – This week is expected to be an important turning point for Ripple (XRP) as five spot ETFs trade for a full week.
The launch of the XRP fund by 21Shares today adds to the list of existing ETFs such as Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, and Canary Capital. With an inflow of over $660 million in less than a month and no outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, the market is showing strong dynamics.
ETFs have shown significant influence on the demand and supply of XRP. With Bitwise increasing their XRP holdings to 80 million tokens, total assets under management by ETF managers now stand at over $687 million, which includes over 300 million XRP. The launch of 21Shares with an initial basket of $500,000 and a management fee of 0.50% signals intense competition among issuers.
ETFs not only play a role in increasing liquidity but also in stabilizing the price of XRP in the market. With five ETFs operating simultaneously, market dynamics are expected to be more transparent. Market analysts and commentators will observe how these ETFs will continue to buy XRP in the long run, which will give a clearer picture of XRP’s future direction.
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A price path sensitivity simulation conducted by Mohamed Bangura shows several possible scenarios. Using an ETF base demand of 74.5 million XRP per day, a total supply of XRP on exchanges of 2.7 billion, and escrow releases of 300 million XRP every 30 days, the results show significant variations depending on market elasticity.
Different elasticity values indicate how the supply of XRP held on exchanges can be quickly depleted or how sharp price spikes can occur. With low elasticity, the supply on exchanges can be quickly depleted, while high elasticity can lead to sharper price spikes as OTC liquidity absorbs the inflows. This is a major concern for traders who keep a close eye on liquidity statistics.
Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, expressed concerns about the depletion of OTC and dark-pool channels. He estimates that around 800 million XRP of private liquidity has been absorbed in the first week of ETF accumulation. As most ETF purchases occur off-exchange, the price action does not yet reflect the tightening of supply, and the market may see more abrupt movements when funds are forced to source coins from public exchanges.
Changes among large holders have also been reported. The top wallet now holds 51.39 billion XRP, or about 85% of the circulating supply. In a single day, 78 new wallets received 77.324 million XRP. Analysts state that the current situation is more of a liquidity test than just a simple demand story. If the OTC channel dries up and ETFs have to buy on exchanges, volatility could increase quickly.
This week will be crucial for the future of XRP as five spot ETFs trade. Careful observation of order books, OTC reports, and ETF filings will provide further insight into how the supply picture will change in practice. Traders and portfolio managers will be paying close attention to these dynamics in anticipation of further market movements.
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A1: Ripple (XRP) is a digital currency used in the Ripple payment network to facilitate the transfer of funds globally.
A2: The ETF manager now manages over $687 million in assets, which includes over 300 million XRP.
A3: The simultaneous operation of five ETFs is expected to increase transparency and stability of XRP prices, as well as provide a clearer picture of long-term demand.
A4: Jake Claver predicts that OTC and dark-pool liquidity may thin out, which could lead to more sudden price movements in the market.
A5: The top wallet currently holds 51.39 billion XRP, which is about 85% of the circulating supply.
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