Bitcoin Price Could Plunge to $75,000 as Bank of Japan Risks Mount

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) is under immense pressure this weekend, with the potential for a deeper drop ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision. Bitcoin currently sits at a psychological $90,000, down around 29% from its highest peak this year, signaling that the cryptocurrency is still in a deep bear market. These concerns are compounded by the prediction that the BoJ will raise interest rates on December 19.

Impact of BoJ Interest Rate Decision

The BoJ’s decision to raise interest rates is crucial for several reasons:

First, it will strengthen the BoJ’s independence amid Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s preference for low interest rates.

Secondly, this rate hike comes just a week after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points, setting the policy between 3.50% to 3.75%.

Third, history shows that Bitcoin prices tend to fall by double digits when the BoJ raises interest rates. The worst drop occurred last year when the BoJ raised interest rates for the first time in decades. This rate hike is expected to trigger a reversal of the carry trade that has been going on for decades.

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Technical Analysis of Bitcoin Price

Based on technical analysis, Bitcoin price is showing indications of more declines in the coming weeks. Currently, Bitcoin has formed a death cross pattern on the daily chart. This pattern is often followed by further price drops.

Additionally, Bitcoin is forming a bearish flag pattern, which consists of a vertical line and a rising channel. Like the death cross, this pattern often leads to further declines. Bitcoin’s current price is also below the Ichimoku cloud and the Supertrend indicator, suggesting that control is still in the hands of the bears.

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Outlook and Potential Impact on Market

If Bitcoin continues to decline, its initial target is to reach the November low of $80,000. If the price falls below that level, it could indicate a further decline, potentially all the way to support at $74,500, which was the low in April this year.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has given guidance of only one interest rate cut in 2026, which is much lower than expected by analysts. While it is possible that Donald Trump will appoint a Fed chairman who supports him, there will most likely be other officials who will act as a moderating force.

Conclusion

With various risk factors emerging, investors and market watchers should pay close attention to the dynamics between BoJ and Fed policies. These two policies will greatly affect exchange rates and investments in the crypto market, especially Bitcoin. The upcoming decision of the BoJ could be the determinant of Bitcoin’s price direction in the short term.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Crypto News. Bitcoin Price at Risk of a Crash to $75 as a Major BOJ Risk Looms. Accessed on December 15, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by Ai