3 Bitcoin Price Predictions in 2026 According to Bitwise

Jakarta, Pintu News – The year 2026 is predicted to be a very favorable year for the crypto market, according to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise. With a combination of falling interest rates, regulatory advancements, and increased institutional adoption, market momentum is expected to increase significantly. In his blog published on December 15, Hougan revealed three bold predictions that could change the market’s outlook on Bitcoin (BTC).

First Prediction: Bitcoin Reaches New Record Highs

According to Hougan, Bitcoin will break its four-year cycle and reach an unprecedented new price peak in 2026. If the established pattern is followed, that year should be a bearish year for the crypto. However, Hougan believes that new factors, such as a massive wave of adoption and institutional investment, will be the key determinants.

Adoption by major financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Merrill Lynch, beginning with the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, is expected to increase rapidly. Hougan also added that the crypto sector will begin to benefit from the regulatory shift in favor of crypto, which occurs after the 2024 elections.

Also read: XRP Price Drops to Under $2, How Deep Can the Drop Go?

Second Prediction: Bitcoin Volatility Declines

Hougan also predicts that Bitcoin’s volatility will continue to decline, a trend that has been ongoing for the past few years. While Bitcoin is known to be a highly volatile asset, Hougan points out that throughout most of 2025, Bitcoin’s volatility is actually lower than NVIDIA’s stock price.

This decrease in volatility reflects the fundamental risk reduction of Bitcoin as an investment and the diversification of the investor base thanks to traditional investment vehicles such as ETFs. This signals a significant change in the market’s perception of Bitcoin as a stable investment asset.

Read also: US Crypto Regulation Delayed Until 2026, Why?

Third Prediction: Bitcoin is Increasingly Uncorrelated with the Stock Market

In addition, Hougan argues that the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market will continue to decline. While many believe that the price of Bitcoin is closely related to the stock market, Hougan points out that this correlation is actually quite weak and is expected to decrease even further by 2026.

This prediction is based on the expectation that crypto will reach new heights while the stock market may experience difficulties. This decrease in correlation will further clarify Bitcoin’s position as a stand-alone asset, unaffected by traditional stock market dynamics.

Conclusion

Hougan’s overall prediction paints a very positive picture for crypto investors in 2026, with hopes of achieving record high prices, lower volatility, and further decoupling from the stock market. Hopefully, these predictions will materialize and bring a new era to the crypto world.

FAQ

What are Matt Hougan’s top predictions for Bitcoin in 2026?

Matt Hougan predicts Bitcoin will set a new record high price in 2026.

Why is 2026 considered bullish for the crypto market?

The main factors are lower interest rates, regulatory advancements, and increased institutional adoption.

Is Bitcoin’s volatility expected to remain high?

It doesn’t. Hougan expects Bitcoin’s volatility to continue to decline and stabilize.

What role do Bitcoin ETFs play in this prediction?

Bitcoin spot ETFs help broaden the investor base and lower the risk of volatility.

Does Bitcoin still correlate with the stock market?

Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market is expected to weaken further, making it a more independent asset.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Crypto News Australia. Bitwise’s Three Bold Crypto Calls That Could Redefine Bitcoin in 2026. Accessed on December 18, 2025
• Expert Bitwise Investment Blog. Bitwise Predictions for 2026: The Four-Year Cycle Is Dead. Accessed December 18, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by Ai