Jakarta, Pintu News – Despite Bitcoin’s (BTC) nearly 10% drop at the end of the year, Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy and long-term Bitcoin (BTC) advocate, has an optimistic outlook for the cryptocurrency’s future. According to him, 2025 is not a failure, but rather a preparation for the big surge to come.
In a recent interview on Alex Thorn’s podcast, Saylor emphasized that the past 12 months have been the most crucial period in Bitcoin’s (BTC) history in terms of fundamentals.
“The last twelve months have probably been the best in the history of the industry in terms of fundamentals,” Saylor said.
He added that while large institutions like BlackRock get a lot of attention, around 85% of Bitcoin (BTC) is still held by early holders whose identities are not widely known. The derivatives market, particularly leveraged perpetual contracts, plays a big role in short-term price movements.
According to Saylor, this structure makes the price of Bitcoin (BTC) often more influenced by trader sentiment and leverage than spot demand, even in periods of strong adoption.
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) slow performance is due more to global macroeconomic conditions than crypto-specific issues. Historically, Bitcoin (BTC) performs well when economic activity expands above the critical level of 50 in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) cycle. However, the global economy has been in a state of contraction for almost the past three years.
One analyst, Nico, describes Bitcoin (BTC) as a “liquidity thermometer”. When money is easy to come by, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) goes up. Conversely, when money is hard to come by, the price drops. This suggests that muted price action may reflect tight liquidity conditions rather than weakening fundamentals.
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Saylor revealed that by 2026, institutional participation is expected to increase.
“We are hearing rumors that major US banks will start buying Bitcoin (BTC), storing Bitcoin (BTC), and issuing credit against real Bitcoin (BTC) assets in the first half of 2026,” Saylor said.
This was supported by a meeting between MicroStrategy’s CEO and executives from BNY Mellon, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and other banks that are exploring how to manage Bitcoin (BTC) for clients before offering loans or investment products.
MicroStrategy currently owns 671,268 BTC, worth billions of dollars, leading a wave of Bitcoin (BTC) holdings by public companies. Overall, public companies now hold more than 1 million BTC, indicating growing interest from institutions and clearer regulation.
With a new wave of adoption and an expected improvement in macroeconomic conditions, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2026 is expected to range from $143,000 to $170,000. This represents a very promising outlook for investors and market watchers.
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