3 XRP Indicators that Warn of Crash Before New Year 2026

Jakarta, Pintu News – In the last few days of 2025, Ripple (XRP) is showing some worrying signs. A drop of about 1.6% in the last 24 hours and a 16% decline from last month suggest that the cryptocurrency may be facing serious problems. Further analysis of capital patterns and flows suggests that investors, both short-term and long-term, are starting to lose confidence.

Sales by Long-Term Holders and Retail

Ripple (XRP) is stuck in a descending triangle pattern, with the price moving flat near the lower trendline. Although prices trended upwards between December 18 and December 27, the Money Flow Index (MFI) showed the opposite trend. The MFI indicator, which measures the flow of money in or out of an asset, registered a decline as the price rose, signaling that retailers were selling whenever the price rose instead of accumulating.

When looking at long-term holders, data from HODL Waves shows that wallets holding Ripple (XRP) for 2-3 years decreased from 14.26% of the total supply on November 26 to around 5.66% on December 26. This selling by long-term holders reduces significant market support, and the simultaneous weakness of retail and long-term holders is not a good signal.

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Capital Flows Show Declining Demand

If retail confidence and long-term holders are weakening, capital flow is the next critical indicator to check. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks buying and selling pressure based on volume and price movement, is also not showing positive signs. This large indicator of money flow remains negative for Ripple (XRP) and is moving down along a declining support line.

This suggests that while prices are stabilizing, the large capital coming into the asset is diminishing, and the market is trending towards oversupply versus demand. Without an increase in CMF, the market loses another potential safety net.

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Ripple (XRP) Price Level Defines Possible Decline

For now, Ripple (XRP) is stuck between $1.90 and $1.81. After losing the $1.90 level on December 22 and not managing to reclaim it, the situation has become increasingly precarious. If Ripple (XRP) can reclaim $1.90 and push to $1.99, it would be the first sign of strength.

However, the bearish scenario seems clearer at the moment. If the $1.81 level is broken, Ripple (XRP) might break out of the descending triangle pattern, which would be a confirmation of a decline. Missing this level could pave the way towards $1.68, where the structure completely fails, and even $1.52 if the selling picks up.

Conclusion

Although it is not certain, the market is yet to show encouraging signals. As long as retail sales, long-term distribution, and weak capital flows remain in line, the price of Ripple (XRP) should struggle to maintain its range. Investors and market watchers should pay close attention to these indicators in the coming days.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• BeInCrypto. XRP Price Breakdown: Risk for New Year’s. Accessed on December 29, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by Ai