Analysts Predict a Mini Altseason in Early 2026 as Bitcoin’s Dominance Starts to Shift

Jakarta, Pintu News – The altcoin market is still under pressure, while Bitcoin’s (BTC) dominance remains high at around 59% and the Altcoin Season Index hovers around 37. This shows that most of the capital is still focused on Bitcoin, so other altcoins remain under pressure despite some optimism regarding ETFs and some specific narratives.

Market sentiment reflects this imbalance. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index recently dropped to around 28, which is in the “fear” zone, signaling that investors are still very cautious.

Limited liquidity as well as a clear institutional preference for Bitcoin means that almost 90% of the top altcoins are still well below their all-time highs.

Technical Signals Point to a Possible Mini Altseason

Crypto analyst Dr. Cat believes that the altcoin market may be approaching a short-term turning point. Bitcoin’s dominance chart shows a three-time bearish pattern at key resistance levels.

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Historically, such patterns are often followed by a decline in Bitcoin’s dominance, which opens up opportunities for altcoins to outperform-even if only temporarily.

He highlighted January 5 as a crucial moment. Around this time, Bitcoin’s resistance is expected to move from around $89,000 to $96,000. This shift could allow Bitcoin’s price to rise while its dominance weakens-a combination that has previously given altcoins room to score gains.

Dr. Cat suggests that a “mini altseason” could occur between January 5 and 12 if these conditions persist.

Why the Rise Can Be Limited

Although technicals favor a potential altcoin rebound, the price surge may feel limited. The market is currently very congested, with thousands of tokens competing for limited capital.

So even if Bitcoin’s dominance drops, the rise is likely to be selective, not across the board, which leaves many investors feeling that the true altseason hasn’t really happened yet.

Chart patterns such as inverse head-and-shoulders and head-and-shoulders show mixed signals. While these patterns are quite reliable in theory, analysts note that volume confirmation is still missing, so breakout potential remains vulnerable.

Liquidity Remains a Deciding Factor

From a macro standpoint, CryptosBatman analysts emphasize that liquidity is a key driver of altcoin cycles. Altcoins tend to perform well when market liquidity is abundant.

Read also: 3 Altcoins with Strong Catalysts This Week, Potential to Soar or Plummet?

But since 2022, the Federal Reserve’s tightening policy and shrinking balance sheets have significantly reduced liquidity, which has contributed to the weak performance of altcoins in the long run.

Looking ahead, expectations of interest rate cuts and a possible return to looser monetary policy in 2026 could create the conditions needed for altcoins to bounce back.

In summary, technical signals point to a possible short-term bounce for altcoins in early January. However, for a strong and sustained altseason to occur, liquidity improvements as well as support from more conducive macroeconomic conditions are needed.

For now, the market favors patience and selective positioning over broad risk-taking.

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This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coinpedia. Bitcoin Dominance Suggests a Mini Altcoin Season in Early January 2026. Accessed on December 29, 2025