Bitcoin (BTC) Breaks 4-Year Cycle for the First Time in 14 Years!

Jakarta, Pintu News – At the end of 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) showed a significant decline, marking the first time in 14 years that the world’s largest cryptocurrency did not follow its four-year cycle. This came as a surprise to traders and long-term holders, given that in the past, Bitcoin has always gone up after the mining reward cuts that occur every four years.

Bitcoin (BTC) Cycle Pattern Changes

For over a decade, Bitcoin (BTC) has followed a consistent rhythm. The year following a mining bounty cut usually closes with a rise, followed by even bigger gains the following year, and then a big peak followed by a deep correction. However, the year 2025 showed a different pattern, where Bitcoin actually experienced a decline, a new phenomenon for investors and market analysts.

This change does not necessarily indicate weakness. Instead, it could be a sign that the Bitcoin (BTC) market is maturing. With the influx of institutional investors, spot ETF products, and deeper liquidity, Bitcoin is now moving more based on macroeconomic conditions rather than just the hype of mining reward cuts.

Also read: These 3 Charts Hint at Bitcoin’s Fate Toward $100,000 in January 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) Whales Are Back in Action

As we enter 2026, on-chain data provides an important signal that large holders of Bitcoin (BTC), often referred to as whales, are starting to add to their positions after several weeks of reduced activity. Data from crypto trader Crypto Rover shows that wallets holding more than 1,000 BTC are starting to increase their balances. This 30-day trend suggests renewed accumulation at current price levels.

In addition, Bitcoin (BTC) balances on exchanges continue to decline. When coins are removed from exchanges, it often signals that holders plan to hold rather than sell, which reduces the available supply in the market. In previous cycles, this condition often appeared before a strong rally.

Read also: Trump’s Tariffs 2026: The Impact on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins

Bitcoin (BTC) Trapped in a Narrow Range

From chart analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) has been moving sideways for over a month. The price is trapped between a clear resistance zone near $100,000 and strong support around $84,000. These two levels are very prominent and serve as decision points for the market.

The $100,000 level is crucial because it previously served as the lower limit of Bitcoin’s (BTC) all-time high range, making it a zone where selling pressure might return. In the event of a clean break above it, this could signal renewed strength.

Conclusion

With all these changes and developments, the Bitcoin (BTC) market is showing more complex dynamics than ever. Investors and analysts have to pay attention to more factors, not only the four-year cycle, but also global economic conditions and broader market dynamics. Now, more than ever, a deep understanding of the market is key to successful navigation.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coinpedia. Bitcoin Breaks Its 4-Year Cycle for the First Time in 14 Years. Accessed on January 2, 2026
• Cointelegraph. Is Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Dead 2025. Accessed on January 2, 2026
• Featured Image: Generated by AI