Jakarta, Pintu News – Standard Chartered predicts that the price of Ethereum could reach $40,000 by 2030. This projection shows a long-term assessment that contradicts the current behavior of the ETH price.
This view comes as Ethereum (ETH) is in a recovery phase, influenced by improving macro factors and a more stable market structure. This distinction is important because the ETH price is still interacting with the immediate supply zone, rather than moving freely.
Standard Chartered projects that the price of Ethereum could reach $40,000 by 2030, which would mean a major change in the way ETH prices are formed. If this is achieved, the valuation of the Ethereum network will reach around $4.8 trillion, with a circulating supply of around 120.7 million ETH.
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In order to reach activity levels like the current market capitalization of around $400 billion, a net marginal demand of around $4.4 trillion would need to enter and remain in the Ethereum ecosystem on an ongoing basis.
This demand cannot be temporary. The Ethereum price must be able to retain capital during expansion phases, rather than releasing it during corrections. In practice, long-term holdings and staking should continue to effectively reduce circulating supply as new demand comes in.
Prices will not grow sustainably if, during a correction, the funds that came in actually go back out into liquidity.
Therefore, this projection is based on the assumption that Ethereum will be able to turn marginal demand into structurally dormant supply over several cycles, rather than relying solely on occasional speculative flows.
Ethereum’s price is attempting to recover through the mark-up phase after experiencing a downtrend for several months.
As of January 14, ETH is trading in a key supply zone around $3,350 – an area that previously capped gains. The current price movement responds more to market structure than to momentum impulse, so the recovery is measured rather than impulsive.
ETH recorded a daily surge of 7% after the release of CPI inflation data on Tuesday. The data reinvigorated interest in risky assets in the crypto market. Ethereum also managed to get back above the uptrend line during the trading session.
Higher lows have been maintained, indicating a recovery that is still in line with the continuation of the market structure, rather than just short-term volatility.
As of January 14, Ethereum’s value was around $3,325, still holding above the rising support. This position shows that the price is still stuck below the supply zone.
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If ETH is able to break and hold above the $3,350 area, then a price rotation towards $3,600 makes structural sense – given that this level previously triggered significant selling pressure.
If buyers are able to maintain control above $3,600, then a path towards the $4,000 region will open up. The Parabolic SAR indicator is below the price, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Meanwhile, the RSI at 65 indicates strong but manageable demand.
However, if it fails to break the supply zone, Ethereum price is likely to consolidate again and weaken its price outlook going forward.
Conclusion
Standard Chartered’s $40,000 Ethereum price projection is contingent on the continuation of steady marginal demand, not just a cyclical rally. The current market structure does favor a continuation of the trend, but on the condition that the existing supply zone must be successfully converted into long-term support.
If this process fails, the ETH price is likely to remain stuck within a certain range, regardless of long-term projections. Therefore, such prospects will only become a reality if there is continuity and the ability to consistently maintain capital – not growth that relies solely on temporary momentum.
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