MicroStrategy ready to overtake Bitcoin? Check out these shocking predictions for the end of February!

Jakarta, Pintu News – As February draws to a close, the debate between MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Bitcoin (BTC) stock performance is heating up among global investors. Many are highlighting whether MicroStrategy is capable of outperforming Bitcoin, especially after the sharp market volatility in recent weeks.

With the price of Bitcoin (BTC) having dropped by 23% in the past month and MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares closing trading at $131.05, the competition between the two has taken center stage. This article will take an in-depth look at the performance comparison, company strategies, and market sentiment affecting both assets.

Price Action and Treasury Spread MicroStrategy

During February, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) came under pressure despite recording a slight daily increase of 0.15%. On the other hand, MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares actually recorded a 1.24% increase in Friday’s trading session, with transaction volume reaching 17.6 million shares. MSTR’s share price moved in the range of $129.41 to $136.14, and after trading hours, the price stayed around $131.

MicroStrategy itself is known to hold 717,131 Bitcoin (BTC) as of February 17, with an average purchase price of around $76,027 per coin, bringing the total holding value to $54.5 billion. However, with the current Bitcoin (BTC) price at around $68,063, the value of MicroStrategy’s treasury has dropped to around $48.8 billion.

After accounting for net debt of around $6 billion and some cash adjustments, MSTR’s share price is now trading slightly below the value of its Bitcoin (BTC) assets. This is in contrast to previous bull market periods, where MSTR stock often traded at a significant premium to its Bitcoin (BTC) treasury value. Over the past five years, MSTR stock has become known as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin (BTC), with a beta of 3.5 and daily movements that can be two to three times the percentage change in Bitcoin (BTC) price.

Also Read: Elon Musk on Silver: 5 Facts, Opinions, and Impact on Precious Metal Prices

Strategic Conference and Bitcoin Acquisition Pattern by MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy will hold its “Bitcoin for Corporations” conference in Las Vegas on February 24-25, which is expected to be an important catalyst for MSTR stock movement. CEO Michael Saylor is expected to highlight the company’s treasury strategy, which could increase trading interest in MSTR stock in the last week of February.

In addition, MicroStrategy consistently announces Bitcoin (BTC) purchases almost every Monday, emphasizing an accumulation model funded through debt, preferred stock issuance, or equity. This strategy confirms the company’s commitment to continuously add to its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings without selling the digital asset.

According to a post from Open4profit on the X platform, MicroStrategy retains all of its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings despite currently experiencing an unrealized loss of around $5.7 billion from the average purchase price. Michael Saylor prefers to raise funds through issuing shares or debt rather than selling his Bitcoin (BTC).

However, pressure also came from analysts, with Mizuho Securities cutting its 12-month price target on MSTR shares from $403 to $320. In addition, the company also reported a net loss of $12.4 billion and unrealized losses from digital assets of $17.4 billion.

Market Structure and Global Bitcoin Sentiment Dynamics

Technically, MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock is currently moving between the $125 support and $135 resistance levels, having previously rebounded from the $105-110 zone. The RSI indicator is at 54.97 levels signaling mild bullish momentum, while MACD is showing a positive crossover although its expansion is still limited.

In terms of performance since the beginning of the year, several trackers have recorded MSTR stock down 13.75%, while Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a deeper decline of up to 22%. It is this relative resilience of MSTR stock that has sparked debate on whether it can continue to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) until the end of February.

On the other hand, pressure on Bitcoin (BTC) also comes from ETF outflows that reached $3.8 billion in the past five weeks, according to Walter Bloomberg data. However, cumulatively, Bitcoin (BTC) ETF inflows still stand at around $54 billion, signaling institutional interest remains high.

Network data also showed Bitcoin (BTC) hash rate approaching 1,000 exahashes per second and Lightning Network capacity above 5,600 Bitcoin (BTC). With Bitcoin (BTC) prices still consolidating around $68,000 and gold prices breaking $5,100, investors continue to monitor whether MicroStrategy (MSTR) is able to maintain its relative advantage into the close of the month.

Conclusion

The competition between MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Bitcoin (BTC) is getting more interesting to follow, especially with the various catalysts that will occur at the end of February. MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation strategy and dynamic market sentiment are the main factors influencing the movement of these two assets.

With high volatility and pressure from various sides, both MSTR and Bitcoin (BTC) stocks still have the potential to experience significant changes in the near future. Investors and market participants are expected to remain vigilant and pay attention to the latest developments before making investment decisions.

Also Read: How to Play Bitcoin on HP for Beginners in 2026

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coingape. MSTR vs BTC: Will MicroStrategy Outperform Bitcoin By Feb End?. Accessed on February 23, 2026