5 XAUUSD Analysis and Predictions February 25, 2026: Antam Gold Drops IDR52,000, Time for a Strike?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The movement of world gold prices or XAUUSD is back in the spotlight after experiencing a significant sharp decline in trading this week. Entering Wednesday, February 25, 2026, domestic gold bullion prices such as Antam were also observed to follow the global correction trend after having recorded a long rally. For those of you who often monitor the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, fluctuations in these precious metal assets provide an important picture of the current state of global risk sentiment.

Sharp Drop in Antam Gold Prices in the Domestic Market

The price of gold bars produced by PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) today recorded a slight correction with a tendency to fluctuate at the level of IDR 3,068,000 per gram. A more striking decline was seen in the buyback price or resale price, which slipped to IDR 52,000 per gram to IDR 2,802,000. This condition was triggered by mass profit-taking by investors after the price of gold reached its buying saturation point.

You should note that despite the drop in domestic prices, the intrinsic value of gold is still heavily influenced by the weakening Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar. If converted using an exchange rate of IDR16,831 per USD, the current world gold price reflects the dynamics of the physical economy which is very different from digital assets. Investors are advised to remain wary of a potential further correction if the psychological support level of IDR3,000,000 per gram is broken in the near future.

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XAUUSD Technical Analysis: Harami Pattern and Rebound Signal

Based on the daily chart, the world gold price in the spot market closed at US$5,140.1 per troy ounce with a daily correction of 1.67%. However, technical indicators on the H4 time frame have just detected the appearance of a Bullish Harami pattern which is often considered a reversal signal. This pattern suggests that selling pressure is starting to ease and there is potential for prices to crawl back up in today’s trading session.

Technically, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is still in the 57 area, which means that gold is still in an uptrend or bullish zone. If the price is able to stay above thedemand zone around US$5,140, then the path to the next upside target remains wide open. You can look at the *pivot point* at the level of US$5,160 as a determinant of whether gold will test the resistance level of US$5,193 per troy ounce.

Influence of Global Policies and US Import Tariffs

The recent pressure on world gold prices was also triggered by the strengthening of the US Dollar following President Donald Trump’s imposition of global import tariffs. The tariff policy of 10% to 15% has created high economic uncertainty in international financial markets. While gold usually benefits from being a safe haven asset, the strengthening of the US Dollar has put back pressure on global commodity prices.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the development of the Iranian nuclear issue remain the main supporting factors that prevent gold prices from falling deeper. Many central banks and large financial institutions still see gold as a more stable hedging instrument than fiat currencies. You should continue to monitor economic data releases from the United States as they will largely determine the direction of the Fed’s interest rate policy going forward.

Comparison of Gold Volatility with Cryptocurrency Market

In recent weeks, gold’s performance has often been compared to popular digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH). As the cryptocurrency market experiences extreme volatility, many large investors have started to shift some of their capital back into physical assets such as gold. This shows that gold still plays a crucial role as an anchor in a well-diversified investment portfolio.

Unlike Ripple (XRP) or community coins like Pepe Coin (PEPE), gold has real industrial demand and central bank reserves. The phenomenon of capital flight to safe haven assets usually occurs for a short duration of about 2 to 4 weeks before the market returns to normal. You can take advantage of gold’s current downward momentum to balance the risk of speculative assets in your digital wallet.

Today’s Target Price Predictions and Investment Strategies

For today’s trading, analysts predict that gold prices will move between the support level of US$5,124 to the optimistic resistance at US$5,370 per troy ounce. In rupiah terms, the target bullish scenario for Antam gold is predicted to return to the range of IDR 3,080,000 to IDR 3,100,000 per gram. Conversely, if selling pressure continues, prices may consolidate in the area of IDR3,045,000 per gram as the nearest buffer level.

The recommended strategy for you is to do defensive risk management by not rushing to buy at peak prices. Waiting for confirmation of a price bounce at the demand zone at US$5,140 could be a wise choice for day traders. Stay disciplined with your profit targets and loss limits to keep your investment capital protected amidst the high dynamics of the energy and precious metals markets.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Sinar Harapan. Antam Gold Price (ANTM) Precious Metals Wednesday Down, World Gold (XAUUSD) Plummeted. Accessed February 25, 2026.