7 Bitcoin vs Gold Facts: Crypto opportunities amid risks, BTC price could reach Rp1.32 billion

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) is back in the spotlight in the global crypto market after new data showed the digital asset is starting to catch up with gold. Recent analysis shows a potential long-term trend change that could open up new opportunities for cryptocurrency investors. However, volatile global market conditions mean that these opportunities come with risks.

1. Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Shows Bullish Signal

The movement of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is an important indicator that shows changes in momentum in the market. The latest data shows that the BTC to gold ratio has started to strengthen after previously touching support levels that appeared in 2017, 2022, and 2023.

Analysts also found a bullish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This condition occurs when the price forms a new low, but the momentum indicator actually shows an increase, signaling that selling pressure is starting to weaken.

Also Read: 5 February 2026 CPI Facts: Bitcoin (BTC) Drops, Gold & Stable Inflation Risks You Should Know

2. BTC’s 12-13 Support Level is an Important Point

In crypto market analysis, the BTC to gold ratio had dropped to the 12-13 area. This level was a resistance in 2017 before turning into a strong support in recent years.

If this level is successfully defended, many analysts think that the area could be the basis of a long-term trend reversal for Bitcoin (BTC). This means that BTC could potentially return to strength against gold in the next market cycle.

3. Bitcoin ETF Fund Flows Begin to Strengthen

One of the factors supporting the optimism of the cryptocurrency market is the movement of funds on ETFs. In the last 30 days, Bitcoin ETF fund flows have started to show a significant increase.

Some important data recorded include:

• Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of around US$906 million or around Rp15.35 trillion
• A month earlier, the market recorded outflows of up to US$1.9 billion or around Rp32.19 trillion.

This change shows that institutional investors’ interest in crypto is starting to pick up again.

4. Gold ETFs experience huge outflows

While Bitcoin ETFs have seen an increase in fund flows, the opposite is true for gold ETFs. The largest gold ETF product in the United States, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), recorded a huge outflow of funds.

Data shows an outflow of around US$3 billion or equivalent to IDR50.83 trillion in one day. This amount is even said to be around 200% greater than the largest outflow that occurred over the past two years.

5. Bitcoin ETF Holdings Also Start to Rise

In addition to fund flows, data on asset holdings in ETFs also shows a divergence between Bitcoin and gold. The amount of BTC held in ETFs has increased in the last 30 days.

Some of the notable changes noted include:

• Bitcoin ETF balance increased from -34,197 BTC to +12,909 BTC
• ETF gold holdings fall from 1.4 million ounces to around 606,850 ounces

This change suggests that some investors are starting to shift exposure from gold to crypto.

6. Global Volatility Opens “Opportunity Within Risk”

A Binance Research report said the current global economic conditions are creating what is referred to as “opportunity within risk” for Bitcoin (BTC). This means that investment opportunities arise amid market uncertainty.

Several geopolitical factors such as global conflicts and economic tensions make Bitcoin move similar to other macro assets, including oil and stocks. But at the same time, capital flows are slowly starting to return to the crypto market.

7. Historically Bitcoin Could Rise 54% After US Political Cycle

Market history shows that the United States political cycle often affects the performance of global financial markets. In a US midterm election year, the stock market usually experiences a temporary decline.

But once that period is over, the market usually experiences a strong recovery. Historical data shows:

• S&P 500 down 16% on average during midterm election year
• Bitcoin once dropped by 56% in that cycle
• Afterward, Bitcoin rose 54% on average in the following 12 months

This historical pattern has led some analysts to see a potential recovery in crypto prices in the next market cycle.

Conclusion

A comparison between Bitcoin (BTC) and gold shows interesting dynamic changes in the global market. The strengthening BTC-to-gold ratio, increasing ETF fund flows, and changing asset holdings suggest new opportunities for cryptocurrency investors.

Even so, global economic volatility remains a risk factor that needs to be considered. Therefore, before investing in crypto, you still need to do your own research and understand the market risks involved.

Also Read: 5 Things You Should Know: Can XRP Reach $4 in 2026?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Biraajmaan Tamuly / Cointelegraph. Bitcoin catching up to gold hints at an ‘opportunity within risk’. Accessed March 13, 2026.