6 Signals Bitcoin Could Fall to Rp985 Million: 5% Yield & Oil a Threat?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around Rp1.12 billion but is facing immense pressure from rising US bond yields and surging oil prices that are fueling global inflation.

1. Bitcoin Still Holding at Rp1.12 Billion, But Vulnerable

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at around $66,126 or equivalent to Rp1,123,000,000. Although it is still holding at this level, signs of weakness are starting to appear as market sentiment changes.

Previously, BTC had reached $76,000 or around Rp1.29 billion, but failed to maintain bullish momentum. This signals that macro pressures are starting to overpower positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

Also Read: 5 Big BVNK Crypto Facts: Mastercard Invests Rp30 Trillion in the Future of Stablecoins?

2. US Bond Yields Approach 5%, Big Threat for Crypto

The yield on 10-year US government bonds is approaching the 5% level, which is one of the main factors of market pressure. Rising yields make fixed income instruments more attractive than riskier assets like crypto.

Historically, a rise in yield is often followed by a fall in Bitcoin (BTC). For example, when the yield rose from 1.45% to 3.90% in 2021-2022, BTC dropped dramatically from $67,000 to $16,256.

3. Bitcoin Risk Drops to Rp985-Rp940 Million

If the yield does break 5%, Bitcoin is expected to drop to the $58,632 to $55,302 zone. In rupiah terms, this is equivalent to around Rp995,000,000 to Rp939,000,000.

This zone is considered the next area of demand if the selling pressure continues. This means that BTC still has the potential for a deeper correction before finding a new balance.

4. ETF Outflow Touches IDR5 Trillion, Investors Start to Exit

Institutional sentiment has also started to weaken, as evidenced by the outflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs. In one week, around $296 million or IDR5.02 trillion exited the ETF.

Previously, the ETF had recorded a large inflow of up to $2.12 billion or around Rp36 trillion. This change shows that investors are starting to take a defensive position amid the uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market.

5. Oil Prices Rise to Rp1.7 Million per Barrel

Brent oil prices rose from $75 to $106 or about Rp1,799,000 per barrel. Meanwhile, WTI is at around $101 or Rp1,715,000 per barrel.

This rise triggers global inflation as energy costs rise. As a result, central banks tend to hold interest rates high, which indirectly suppresses the crypto market.

6. Bitcoin is not yet the ultimate safe haven

Although often referred to as “digital gold”, Bitcoin (BTC) is still heavily influenced by global liquidity. In times of high inflation and rising interest rates, crypto assets tend to suffer.

This shows that cryptocurrencies are not yet fully functional as a hedge like gold. Its movements are still closely tied to macro factors such as yields, inflation, and global capital flows.

Also Read: What is Grok AI? Elon Musk’s Real-Time AI that Competes with ChatGPT in 2026

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Olayiwola Dolapo/AMBCrypto. Is Bitcoin’s price at risk of $58K after U.S. 10-year yields near 5%, oil-driven inflation. Accessed March 30, 2026.