Jakarta, Pintu News – Amidst volatile market fluctuations, Bitcoin (BTC) has managed to maintain its position above $85,000, with the current price hovering around $87,000. Despite a 0.4% drop in the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency had previously risen to over $88,000. Market analysts are now turning their attention to several on-chain metrics to predict the next direction of Bitcoin (BTC).
One of the metrics analyzed by Burak Kesmeci of CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform is the Internal Funding Pressure (IFP) Indicator. Currently, the IFP stands at 696K, below the 90-day moving average (SMA90) of 794K. While historically, an increase above the SMA90 often signals bullish momentum, currently the indicator suggests that the forces for a reversal are not strong enough yet.
Also Read: Why is Bitcoin (BTC) Following the 2024 Summer Trend? Check out the Next Prediction!
Another indicator to consider is the Bull and Bear Market Cycle Indicator. Kesmeci notes that the current configuration resembles the mild bearish signals seen earlier in this cycle. The 30-day moving average (DMA30) stands at -0.16, while the 365-day moving average (DMA365) is 0.18. This indicator will trend bearish until the DMA30 can surpass the DMA365.

Kesmeci also evaluated the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) scores. The MVRV is currently still below the SMA365, which historically often precedes increased selling pressure. Meanwhile, NUPL stands at 0.49, below the 365-day moving average (SMA365) of 0.53. While this doesn’t definitively end the bullish trend, the positioning of these metrics suggests that more strength is needed for Bitcoin (BTC) to return to a bullish stance.
Despite uncertainties in the short and medium term, the on-chain indicators analyzed by Kesmeci have not fully confirmed that the market has peaked. Taking into account external factors such as economic uncertainties and tariff-related tensions that have recently emerged, the stabilization of macroeconomic conditions could drive a Bitcoin (BTC) recovery like the one in 2024.
Also Read: Lighter Tariff Hike Triggers Altcoin Surge: Solana, DOGE, and ADA Shine
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