Fed Rate Cut Prediction Triggers Crypto Market Optimism, Here Are the Details!

Updated
September 9, 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market is showing signs of bullishness following predictions of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve announced by Standard Chartered.

The latest analysis suggests that a rate cut of 50 basis points is likely, doubling the previous prediction of 25 basis points.

This was driven by the August jobs report which showed the weakest employment growth in almost four years.

Standard Chartered’s Prediction on Fed Policy

Standard Chartered has changed its prediction regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, forecasting a 50 basis points cut at the upcoming policy meeting. This decision is based on the latest jobs report which showed an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.3% and slowing employment growth.

The bank compared the current conditions with last year, when the Fed surprisingly cut rates by half a point under similar conditions.

In its latest note to clients, Standard Chartered stated that the labor market has gone from “strong to weak in less than six weeks.” The bank’s analysts emphasized that decisive action from the Fed is needed to avoid further economic weakness.

Read also: MetaPlanet Japan Reaches Bitcoin Holdings Worth Over $2 Billion

Financial Market Reactions and Other Predictions

Although Standard Chartered gave an aggressive prediction, other banks such as Barclays and Bank of America expected smaller and more gradual cuts. Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank are still skeptical of an immediate 50 basis points cut, but all agree that policy easing is top of mind.

target rate
Source: CME Fedwatch

CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 90% probability of a 25 basis points cut, but only a 10% chance of a full 50 basis points cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. CPI and PPI data to be released on September 10 and 11 will also influence the Fed’s decision.

Also read: XRP Price Prediction September 9, 2025: Just Hours Away, Where is it Headed?

Optimism in the Crypto Market

With the increasing likelihood of an interest rate cut by the Fed, the bullish sentiment in the crypto market is getting stronger. Looser monetary policy is expected to encourage investment in high-risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC), by lowering financing costs and steepening the yield curve.

Several Fed officials, including Governor Chris Waller and Governor Michelle Bowman, have expressed their support for a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting. They argue that this move is necessary to protect the weakening labor market and avoid a deeper erosion of the economy.

Conclusion

The predicted interest rate cut by Standard Chartered has built high anticipation not only on Wall Street but also in the crypto sector. If the Fed actually implements the cut, Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets will probably be the biggest beneficiaries.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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