Jakarta, Pintu News – After falling over the past week, the price of the Hedera token (HBAR) is still hovering around $0.16, but is showing little energy to go higher. Market sentiment is weakening, and traders’ confidence continues to decline.
For now, there’s only one potential signal standing between HBAR and a deeper drop – it’s this signal that’s keeping a glimmer of hope amidst the increasingly bearish market conditions.
The biggest warning signal for HBAR is evident on the daily chart – the potential death cross between the 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
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The EMA helps smooth out price movements to indicate the direction of the long-term trend, and a death cross occurs when the short-term EMA drops below the long-term EMA. This is often a sign that selling pressure could increase if the pattern actually forms.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, which measures money flows in and out of an asset based on price and volume, also supports the picture of market weakness. Since mid-July, the MFI has been steadily declining – from around 55 in early October to 36 currently – signaling that retail traders are no longer buyingthe dip with the intensity they once did.

Social data also reinforced the slowdown signals. HBAR’s social dominance – i.e. the share of HBAR discussions in the overall conversation around crypto – briefly reached a weekly peak of 1.49% on October 22, driven by a surge in interest in ETF filings mentioning HBAR.
However, that enthusiasm quickly faded, and social dominance dropped dramatically to 0.51%, confirming that the euphoria was temporary.
These metrics combined form a wave of bearish signals – weakening participation, declining public attention, and a technical structure that indicates the potential for further losses if buyers don’t take over soon.

Despite the seemingly weak market situation, there was still one indicator that gave some hope. Between June 22 and October 10, the HBAR price printed lower lows, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator formed higher lows.
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This kind of bullish divergence often appears when selling pressure starts to weaken – and can signal a potential reversal.
If this signal proves to be correct, the price of Hedera (HBAR) could potentially rise by around 10% to test the $0.18 level again – this would be the first hurdle traders would need to break through. After that, if the price manages to close above $0.19, the path to $0.22 could open up.

However, at the moment the risks still outweigh the potential gains. The $0.16 level remains the key support to defend. If this level is broken, HBAR risks dropping to $0.15 or even $0.12. And if such a scenario occurs, the formation of a death cross will further deepen the bearish sentiment in the market.
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