Bitcoin Under Threat? Analyst Calls the 2025 Cycle “Upside Down” and Potentially Fatal

Jakarta, Pintu News – The Bitcoin (BTC) market is showing different dynamics from previous cycles, according to leading analyst, Perera. In his latest analysis, Perera revealed that Bitcoin has broken record highs before halving, an unprecedented phenomenon.

This signals that the usual four-year rhythm has been reversed. Perera also emphasized that 2024 is not an ascension phase, but rather a “political reassessment,” triggered by the US administration’s possible support of crypto.

Different Cycles

Perera highlighted that Bitcoin (BTC) had reached a new record high before the halving took place, an occurrence that has never been seen in previous cycles. According to him, this is an indication that Bitcoin’s traditional cycle has changed. The analyst argues that 2024 is not the start of a new crypto wave, but rather the market’s reaction to the potential pro-crypto policies of the new US administration.

Perera uses the term “political reassessment” to describe the 2024 phenomenon, which he says is not a bull run. He argues that investors are reacting to possible policy changes in favor of crypto, rather than significant innovation or adoption in blockchain technology. This suggests a shift in the factors influencing Bitcoin’s price.

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2025, The Year Masquerading as a Bear Market

While Bitcoin’s price near $90,000 seems impressive, Perera argues that these are signs of a bear market in disguise. Prices that were previously considered impossible are now causing concern among investors. The analyst emphasizes that market perceptions may change despite the high price.

Perera also highlighted that Bitcoin’s demand dynamics are now influenced more by Federal Reserve policy than the usual retail euphoria. Since Bitcoin became part of mainstream financial flows through products like ETFs, its demand started to follow the liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve. This signals a significant change in the factors affecting Bitcoin’s price.

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Projections Toward 2026

According to Perera, if the market has experienced an emotional bear phase despite the high prices, the next big move could be the true top. The analyst suggests that the bear market may already be behind us, and it is time to adjust investment strategies. This prediction provides a new perspective on how investors should view the Bitcoin market going forward.

Perera concluded with the message that investors should act according to current market conditions. He believes that a deep understanding of these new dynamics will be crucial to success in crypto investing. This analysis offers a different view of the usual Bitcoin market cycle and invites investors to rethink their strategies.

Conclusion

Perera’s analysis of Bitcoin’s upside-down cycle provides new insights into how external factors such as political policies and macroeconomics are now more dominant in influencing the crypto market.

By understanding these changes, investors can better prepare for unexpected market fluctuations and capitalize on opportunities that arise. Now more than ever, it is important to closely monitor market dynamics and adjust investment strategies accordingly.

FAQ

Why do analysts say the Bitcoin cycle has “reversed”?

Because Bitcoin (BTC) set a record high before the halving, something that never happened in previous cycles.

What does Perera mean by “political reassessment”?

The term refers to the market’s reaction to possible pro-crypto policies from the US administration, rather than blockchain fundamentals.

Why is 2025 considered a bear market despite the high Bitcoin price?

According to Perera, high prices do not reflect sentiment; rather investors are showing anxiety as demand dynamics shift towards macro factors such as Federal Reserve policy.

What role does the Federal Reserve play in Bitcoin’s current price movements?

Bitcoin demand is now more influenced by liquidity and Fed monetary policy since BTC has entered the mainstream through ETFs.

What are the implications of this analysis for investors heading into 2026?

Perera thinks the real peak may not have happened yet, so investors should adjust strategies to the new dynamics of the crypto market.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coinpedia. Analyst Says Bitcoin Cycle Has Inverted as 2025 Shows Bear Market Signals. Accessed on December 10, 2025
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