XRP Price Prediction: Buyers Reclaim $2 Level Supported by ETF Fund Flows!

Jakarta, Pintu News – The price of XRP (XRP) briefly traded at around $2.07 as the market entered January 5 with momentum starting to show a positive direction after several weeks of downward trend.

Buyers managed to push the price of XRP back above the $2 level on January 3, breaking the pattern of continuously declining price peaks and taking short-term control from sellers.

Downtrend Breaks Shift Short-Term Controls

On the daily chart (4/1/26), XRP finally managed to break out of the downtrend line that had limited price gains during November and December. The rejection of this trend line previously signaled a correction phase from the October highs. Closing above this line marks the first technical structural improvement since selling pressure intensified late last year.

Read also: XRP Surpasses BNB: Is Surging ETF Demand the Catalyst?

Currently, the price is trading above the 20-day EMA located around $1.94 and is testing the 50-day EMA around $2.04 – two levels that previously served as dynamic resistance during the downward phase. If the price is able to hold consistently above these zones, then the short-term trend could be confirmed to have reversed.

Nevertheless, XRP is still below the 100-day EMA at $2.22 and the 200-day EMA at around $2.35. This suggests that the trend structure in the larger time frame is still mixed. These two levels will be the next major resistance zones and will determine whether this move will develop into a real trend reversal or just be a temporary recovery rally.

Meanwhile, the Supertrend indicator on the daily chart has begun to flatten around $1.80, indicating that the downward pressure has begun to ease, albeit not yet fully reversed.

Intraday Structure Shows Controlled Momentum

On the shorter time frame, it appears that the buyers are in control, although not aggressively pursuing price gains. On the 30-minute chart, XRP is moving in a rising channel, with a pattern of higher lows continuing to form since the breakout on January 3.

The price is currently consolidating near the upper boundary of the channel, which is between $2.05 to $2.08, suggesting price acceptance at this level, rather than signs of market exhaustion.

Momentum indicators support this view. The RSI remains above the 70 level, reflecting strong buying pressure without showing any sharp divergence. Meanwhile, MACD is still in the positive zone, although momentum is starting to flatten – indicating that the continuation of the upside requires renewed market participation, not just technical impetus.

The current structure favors a continuation of the uptrend as long as XRP is able to hold above the $2 level, which now serves as the first short-term support.

ETF Fund Flows Strengthen Demand Base

Inflows are now one of the main drivers of XRP’s price resilience. The spot XRP ETF in the US recorded inflows of $13.59 million on January 2, bringing total inflows since its launch to $1.18 billion. These funds have accumulated around 746 million XRP, which is equivalent to over 1% of the total circulating supply.

This “locked” supply is very important. Demand from ETFs effectively reduces the number of tokens actively circulating in the market, thus depressing the supply available for direct sale. The recent rise in XRP price above $2 is more influenced by these fund inflows, rather than leverage-based speculation.

This flow profile is in stark contrast to the conditions of late November, when prices weakened as funds exited ETFs and XRP balances increased on crypto exchanges.

Read also: Weekly Crypto Price Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP Continue Steady Gains

Supply on Exchanges Hits Multi-Year Low

On-chain data reinforces the supply tightening narrative. The amount of XRP held on crypto exchanges fell to around 1.6 billion tokens – the lowest level since 2018 – and down around 57% since October. This trend suggests that holders prefer moving XRP into long-term storage, rather than preparing to sell when prices rise.

Ripple’s scheduled escrow opening of 1 billion XRP on January 1 does not seem to upset this balance. Historically, most of the tokens opened from escrow are re-locked, so their impact on the market in the short term is limited. The price movement after the escrow opening confirmed this pattern.

With fewer and fewer tokens available on exchanges, future selling pressure now requires new supply, not just passive distribution of already available tokens.

Regulatory Background Adds to Medium-Term Support

The general regulatory situation is also showing improvement. The CLARITY Act is set to be discussed in the Senate this month, with the aim of providing clarity on how banks and financial institutions can interact with digital assets, including XRP.

At the same time, the resignation of SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw was also seen by the market as a reduction in regulatory barriers. While not an immediate trigger, this change reduces regulatory risk and paves the way for institutional participation through ETFs.

These factors help explain why XRP outperformed other cryptocurrencies this week, even overtaking BNB and becoming the fourth largest crypto by market capitalization, which briefly touched around $121.7 billion.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• CoinEdition. XRP Price Prediction: Buyers Reclaim $2 as ETF Inflows and Supply Tighten the Tape. Accessed on January 5, 2026