3 Biggest Trade Agreements of 2026 that Don’t Include the US

Jakarta, Pintu News – Three major trade agreements announced in January 2026 interestingly do not involve the United States (US) directly, signaling a significant shift in geopolitical orientation and global trade dynamics. The absence of the US reflects a shift in the world’s network of economic alliances away from traditional economic dominance, while opening up space for other economic blocs to expand their influence and market integration.

1. India-EU: “Mother of All Deals”

A comprehensive trade agreement between India and the European Union (EU) was announced in January 2026 after nearly two decades of negotiations. The deal aims to remove or cut tariffs on most trade products between the two parties, covering goods, services, and investment. Labeled as the “mother of all deals”, the agreement creates a large free trade area covering around 2 billion people and aims to strengthen India’s strategic economic relationship with the EU.

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2. EU-MERCOSUR: Major Economic Integration

A trade cooperation agreement between the European Union and the MERCOSUR bloc (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay) was announced in January 2026 after years of negotiations.
The deal includes import tariff reductions on around 91-92% of both sides’ exports over a 15-year period, encouraging trade and investment flows across the continent.
The populations involved in the deal number in the hundreds of millions, making it one of the most influential trade agreements in the world outside of US involvement.

3. Canada-China: Trade Negotiations Without the US

The new trade deal being negotiated between Canada and China aims to reduce tariffs on certain products such as electric vehicles and canola oil.

This negotiation process demonstrates the high level of direct economic cooperation between Canada and China without the involvement of the US as a mediator or main party. However, the deal was delayed by the US administration’s threat of full tariffs on Canadian products if the agreement went ahead.

The Global Meaning of the US Absence

The absence of the US in these three major agreements reflects a geopolitical shift in which major countries and economic blocs are beginning to cooperate without the direct involvement of the superpower.

It also shows a trend of diversifying global trade relations that are more independent of barriers and protectionist policies triggered by trade wars or high tariffs.
As a result, the global market is now moving in a multipolar direction, where regional economic powers are becoming more dominant in crafting new trade rules and alliances.

Relevance for Global Investors

For global investors, this shift is important because changes in trade patterns can affect capital flows, currency values and demand for specific industry sectors, including energy, automotive and agriculture.

Agreements between major countries or economic blocs often drive sector-specific optimism, while new geopolitical dynamics can also create volatility risks in traditional financial markets and assets such as cryptocurrencies. Changing trade structures can create new opportunities for portfolio diversification, especially in regions that are growing rapidly due to economic integration.

Impact on Currencies & Commodities

Major global trade deals often affect demand for basic commodities and economic growth expectations in the countries involved. For example, greater access to EU markets could boost demand for industrial and agricultural products from India and Mercosur, while Canada-China negotiations could accelerate trade in the electric vehicle and strategic food sectors.

Investors, including those focused on currency and commodity markets, need to watch the medium-term impact of these changes in trading patterns on global asset prices and volatility.

Strategic Lessons for Crypto Investors

Shifting global trade alliances are also having an indirect impact on the crypto market, especially in terms of global capital flows and investors’ risk perception towards risky versus safe-haven assets.

New economic integration can boost confidence in global growth, which often influences capital outflows from riskier assets such as stocks and crypto, towards other instruments, or vice versa.

Understanding geopolitical dynamics like these helps investors, including in the cryptocurrency market, assess macroeconomic risks that impact liquidity, volatility, and market sentiment.

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Reference
– Watcher Guru. 3 Biggest Trade Deals in 2026 Didn’t Involve the US. Accessed January 29, 2026.