Jakarta, Pintu News – Generation Z is not completely abandoning crypto and cryptocurrencies, but rather changing the way they speculate. After the post-2024 token cycle left millions of altcoins without liquidity, confidence in the long-term token narrative is fading.
Economic pressures and limited income have accelerated this change in behavior. Under these conditions, prediction markets emerged as a simpler and more scalable alternative to speculation.
Economic conditions are the main factor behind Gen Z’s shifting preferences. The average income of Gen Z is at US$39,416 or around Rp662.1 million per year, far below the living wage requirement of US$48,614 or Rp816.6 million.
To achieve a comfortable standard of living, the estimated income is as high as US$106,000 or around Rp1.78 billion per year. This gap makes long-term investment strategies feel increasingly unrealistic.
In the context of crypto, investment models based on multi-year roadmaps and promises of future utility are being abandoned. Gen Z tends to prefer speculation instruments with quick and easy-to-understand returns. Prediction markets offer a more transparent, probability-based mechanism. This makes risk feel more scalable than conventional speculative tokens.
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Between the end of 2024 and the end of 2025, the market capitalization of altcoins shrank by about US$150 billion or the equivalent of US$2,519 trillion. Millions of tokens lost liquidity due to auto-liquidation, unilateral withdrawals, and allegations of insider profiteering. These events reinforced the perception that many crypto projects are vulnerable to unsound practices. Retail investor confidence has also undergone significant erosion.

Instead of exiting the blockchain ecosystem, liquidity is moving to prediction markets. Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi recorded significant volume spikes. Weekly notional volume increased from around $500 million in mid-2025 to nearly $6 billion in January 2026. This data suggests a rotation of speculation, not a decline in interest in crypto.
Also read: Gold adds BTC’s market cap equivalent in a day, crypto markets lag behind?
The main appeal of prediction markets lies in the simplicity of their structure. Speculation is simplified to binary outcomes such as yes or no, to happen or not to happen. There are no whitepapers, token unlock schedules, or liquidity risks that disappear suddenly. For a generation increasingly skeptical of project promises, this model offers clarity.
In addition, the prediction market fully utilizes cryptocurrency infrastructure. Custody, settlement, and payment processes run on-chain with the support of stablecoins. Bitcoin (BTC) price-based contracts are among the most active markets, confirming that crypto remains at the core of the ecosystem. With these characteristics, prediction markets are seen as the most sustainable consumer use case in the post-boom altcoin era.
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