Jakarta, Pintu News – A number of artificial intelligence models, ranging from ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, to Grok, project that Ripple (XRP) is likely to move in a narrow range through February 2026. They highlighted weak price momentum, unfavorable seasonal patterns, and macroeconomic pressures that are still pressuring risk assets.
Instead of targeting a major rally, the collective projections point to a calmer consolidation phase after January’s high volatility. For crypto market participants, February seems more suitable for observing and managing risks rather than chasing extreme price movements in the cryptocurrency market.
Entering February, Ripple (XRP) was trading at around US$1.60 or approximately IDR 26,800 after a sharp reversal in late January. At the start of the year, the price had surged more than 30% and touched a multi-week high above US$2.40, equivalent to around Rp40,200.
However, the rally was short-lived as selling pressure intensified in the last week of January. This dragged the price down to around US$1.50 or approximately IDR25,100, which was the lowest point in about 14 months.
That price level was last seen before the post-election rally in late 2024, so the latest drop erased most of the medium-term gains. Recent data shows XRP is down around 0.4% in 24 hours, 15% in a week, and 23% in a month. This correction reflects broader weakness in the crypto market, including pressure on large assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
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ChatGPT positions XRP as a slower-moving asset in the current cycle than other high-risk altcoins. The model’s baseline scenario places the February price range at US$2.10 to US$2.60, or around Rp35,200 to Rp43,600.
However, ChatGPT judges the probability of a sharp rise to be relatively low, so the more likely move is a gradual rise within the range. In other words, the model sees a higher price floor, but with no guarantee of a vertical rally in the near future.

ChatGPT’s analysis also highlights the resolution of regulatory disputes as a key stabilizing factor for XRP. With legal uncertainty largely unraveled, XRP is no longer perceived as an asset with extreme regulatory risk as it was a few years ago. However, the resolution of these regulations now serves more as a price stability support rather than a trigger for short-term upside.

Claude places greater emphasis on historical data and technical indicators in reading XRP’s outlook. Seasonally, February tends to be a weak month for XRP, with historical median declines in the range of 8%.
Currently, XRP is noted to be moving below several important moving averages, while momentum indicators still show sluggish conditions. Based on this combination of factors, Claude expects the February price range to be around US$1.40 to US$1.90, or approximately Rp23,500 to Rp31,900.
Within this framework, the level of US$1.50 or around IDR25,100 is seen as a crucial support area that needs to be defended. A strong daily close below this level could potentially open up room for a deeper decline and trigger additional panic among retail investors.
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Perplexity presents a similar scenario, with a projection of a possible mid-month drop to a range of US$1.45 to US$1.55, equivalent to IDR24,300 to IDR26,000. If global crypto market conditions stabilize, the model expects prices to end up in the range of US$1.70 to US$1.90, or around Rp28,500 to Rp31,900 towards the end of the month.
Grok describes February as a period of consolidation following the sharp price volatility in January. The model sees downside risks to the US$1.25 to US$1.45 range, i.e. around IDR21,000 to IDR24,300, if important support is broken again.

On the other hand, Grok places the US$2.00 area as a major resistance zone that will be difficult to break without a surge in volume. The liquidity vacuum above that level makes a big rally scenario less likely in the very short term.
Grok also emphasized that historically XRP often lags in the early phases of market rallies and only performs better in the advanced phases of altcoin cycles. This means that while some speculative tokens like Pepe Coin (PEPE) could surge at the start of a rally, Ripple (XRP) tends to catch up when liquidity starts to move from mainstream assets to intermediate altcoins.
This pattern makes February more like a “decision phase” than a trend acceleration phase. For medium-term oriented market participants, periods like this are often used to reset strategies rather than chasing short-term price movements.
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