BTC Rp4.2 Billion & ETH Rp151 Million? Tom Lee’s 5 Predictions about the March 2026 Crypto Rebound

Jakarta, Pintu News – The global crypto and stock markets are said to have the potential to rise in March 2026. Tom Lee, Co-Founder and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, believes that the recent price pressure is only temporary. He even projects 2026 as a bullish year for technology stocks and major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

1. March 2026 Cited as Market Turning Point

Tom Lee stated that March has the potential to be a month of market reversal to a more positive trend. He believes that the previous weakness is not a signal of structural failure, but rather a short-term disruption. In other words, the current crypto volatility is considered a consolidation phase before the next rally.

This optimism is also supported by the view that 2026 will be a constructive year for the US stock market. Lee set the year-end target for the S&P 500 index at 7,700, higher than the previous position in the range of 6,881. If realized, the strengthening of the stock market has the potential to give positive sentiment to crypto assets.

2. Bitcoin (BTC) Target of IDR3.3-4.2 Billion in 2026

One of the main highlights was the projected price of Bitcoin (BTC). Lee reiterated the BTC target in the range of 200,000-250,000 US dollars by 2026. Assuming an exchange rate of 1 USD = IDR16,861, the range is equivalent to around IDR3.37 billion to IDR4.21 billion per BTC.

He also said Bitcoin has the potential to leave the four-year cycle pattern that has been synonymous with halving. According to him, the crypto market is maturing with greater institutional participation. If adoption continues to increase, extreme volatility could be reduced and replaced by long-term growth momentum.

3. Ethereum (ETH) Predicted to Enter “Supercycle”

Apart from Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) also received aggressive projections. Lee estimates that ETH could move into the range of 7,000-9,000 US dollars by early 2026. If converted, this range is equivalent to around Rp118 million to Rp151 million per ETH.

He said Ethereum is transforming from a speculative asset to an important financial infrastructure. Broader institutional adoption is considered to be the main catalyst. In this scenario, the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem and asset tokenization could structurally drive ETH demand.

4. Driving Factors: AI, Corporate Earnings, and Interest Rates

Lee highlighted the surge in artificial intelligence-based productivity as a market driver. AI infrastructure companies such as Nvidia have reported significant profit growth in recent years. The strong performance of the tech sector often has a positive impact on sentiment for risky assets, including cryptocurrencies.

On the other hand, interest rate policy also plays an important role. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates in the range of 3.50%-3.75% and left open the possibility of a mid-year cut. If monetary easing occurs, additional liquidity could flow into the stock and crypto markets.

5. Criticism and Risk: Too Optimistic?

While these projections are interesting, not everyone agrees. Some public comments suggest that Tom Lee is too consistently optimistic about the US stock market. He has even been nicknamed “permabull” for his long-term bullish outlook.

Some of the previous predictions were also not fully realized on schedule. This is a reminder that crypto price projections remain speculative. You need to understand that price targets are not guarantees, but rather scenarios based on certain assumptions.

New Momentum or Just Hope?

The prediction of a market rebound in March 2026 gives crypto investors a positive sentiment. Bitcoin (BTC) targets of up to IDR4.2 billion and Ethereum (ETH) of up to IDR151 million are certainly eye-catching. However, the realization of these scenarios depends on macro factors, institutional adoption, and global regulatory dynamics.

As an investor, you should still prioritize risk management. Diversification and understanding the fundamentals are key in dealing with cryptocurrency volatility. Market optimism can be an opportunity, but discipline remains the foundation of rational investment decisions.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash beforeinvesting. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coinpedia. The Crypto and Stock Market Rebound Is Coming This March: Fundstrat’s Tom Lee. Accessed March 3, 2026.