Bitcoin price predicted to skyrocket, VanEck CEO signals end of 4-year cycle?

Updated
March 4, 2026
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Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market is back in the spotlight after VanEck CEO Jan van Eck stated that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is forming a bottom and is ready to bounce back as the four-year cycle comes to an end. This statement sparked renewed optimism among investors, especially amid global uncertainty and increasing institutional adoption of digital assets.

As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) continues to rise, many are beginning to question whether now is the right time to enter the crypto market. This article will take a closer look at VanEck’s analysis, the influence of the quadrennial cycle, and the impact of geopolitics on Bitcoin (BTC) price movements.

Four-Year Cycle: Key to Bitcoin (BTC) Price Movement

Jan van Eck asserts that Bitcoin’s (BTC) price movements over the past few months have been influenced more by a four-year cycle than fundamental factors. This cycle is known as “halving”, where the rewards for Bitcoin (BTC) miners are cut in half once every four years.

According to VanEck, this mechanism creates a scarcity of supply that has historically pushed prices up after periods of consolidation. With Bitcoin’s (BTC) supply limited to just 21 million coins, demand pressure is felt every time a halving occurs.

The debate over the relevance of the quadrennial cycle is heating up as institutional adoption and crypto market maturity increase. Some analysts argue that external factors such as demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the weakening value of the US dollar, and increasingly positive regulation are influencing prices.

Read also: Elon Musk’s plan could push DOGE price to $1?

Geopolitical Factors and Bitcoin (BTC) Price Spikes

The recent rise in Bitcoin (BTC) price is also inseparable from the influence of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. After the United States and Israel launched airstrikes on Iran, the situation escalated further with Iran’s retaliation against Israel.

This has prompted investors to look for hedge assets outside of the traditional banking system, with Bitcoin (BTC) being one of the top choices. In the last 24 hours, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded a 2.6% increase and is trading around $68,400, while in the last seven days it has jumped 7.6% according to CoinGecko data.

VanEck believes that this price spike is also driven by the need to move funds quickly and safely amid economic uncertainty. Regions like the United Arab Emirates and Dubai are known to be very crypto-friendly, making them centers of digital financial activity in times of crisis.

In addition, crypto-based payment infrastructure is increasingly in demand as an alternative solution amid limited access to conventional banking. This strengthens Bitcoin’s (BTC) position as an asset that is resilient to global geopolitical and economic shocks.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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