Arthur Hayes Delays Bitcoin (BTC) Investment, Waiting for the Fed to Ease Monetary Policy

Jakarta, Pintu News – Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, is known as a bold figure in giving Bitcoin (BTC) price predictions. However, this time he chose to hold back and not rush into the market.

This decision was made amid the heated geopolitical situation and the United States’ tight monetary policy. Hayes’ move was the concern of many crypto market participants who were waiting for a buying signal from this influential figure.

Waiting for the Fed to ease policy, Arthur Hayes chooses to wait

Arthur Hayes has publicly stated that he will not be buying Bitcoin (BTC) anytime soon. He emphasized that the decision to start investing will be made when the Fed starts easing monetary policy and printing money again.

According to Hayes, monetary easing policies will be the main catalyst that pushes Bitcoin (BTC) prices up significantly. He considered that as long as the Fed still maintains a tight policy, the risk of price declines is still quite large.

Hayes also highlighted that geopolitical conflicts, particularly between the United States and Iran, have the potential to trigger high volatility in financial markets. He estimates that if the conflict is prolonged, the Fed will most likely be forced to print money to support military financing. In this situation, Hayes sees a great opportunity for Bitcoin (BTC) to strengthen again. However, before signals of monetary easing appear, he prefers to be cautious.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction and Potential for Deeper Correction

Arthur Hayes was previously known as a very bullish figure on Bitcoin (BTC), even predicting that the price would reach $250,000 in 2026. However, in his latest interview, he acknowledged the possibility of Bitcoin (BTC) prices falling deeper before rising again.

Hayes predicted that if geopolitical pressures and tight monetary policy continue, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could fall below $60,000. He also warned of the potential for massive liquidations that could exacerbate the price drop.

At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is around $69,926, down about 45% from its October record high of $126,000. Hayes thinks that global uncertainty and a potential sell-off in the stock market could pressure Bitcoin (BTC) price further.

However, he remains optimistic that in the long run, Bitcoin (BTC) will strengthen again along with the easing of monetary policy. Hayes also emphasized that the era of Bitcoin (BTC) prices below $100,000 will not last long.

Also read: Bitcoin (BTC) Breaks $70,000, Social Media Sentiment Explodes After Trump’s Iran Statement

Another Analyst’s View: Optimism Amid Uncertainty

On the other hand, some analysts remain optimistic about the short-term prospects of Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto assets. Michaël van de Poppe, one of the leading analysts, highlighted that the positive impetus from the rise in the Nasdaq index could impact the crypto market.

He argues that there is not much reason to doubt the potential price increase of Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins in the near future. According to him, the upcoming period will be an important momentum for the crypto market to record significant growth again.

This optimism is based on the correlation between the tech stock market and digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). Van de Poppe thinks that the positive sentiment in the stock market will spread to the crypto market, encouraging investor buying interest.

He also emphasized that the current uncertainty opens up opportunities for risk-taking investors. Thus, even though Arthur Hayes chose to wait, many market participants still believe in the potential growth of crypto in the near future.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Cointelegraph. Bitcoiner Arthur Hayes hesitant on buying BTC due to Federal Reserve’s monetary stance. Accessed on March 12, 2026
• Featured Image: Bitcoin Sistemi