5 Signals that BTC could explode or fall sharply in April 2026

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) market sentiment has weakened again despite the price still staying below US$70,000 or around Rp1,189,790,000 at an exchange rate of Rp16,997 per dollar. The latest data shows the ratio of bullish to bearish fell to 0.81, the lowest level since late February. This leaves the crypto and cryptocurrency markets in a phase of waiting for a new direction.

1. Bitcoin Sentiment Drops to Lowest Level Since February

Santiment data shows Bitcoin’s bullish-bearish ratio has dropped to 0.81 to 1.00. This means that negative conversations are starting to dominate the crypto community. This drop comes after BTC has been moving sideways for quite some time.

This has weakened investor confidence. Bearish discussions increased on X, Reddit, and Telegram. Sentiments like this often appear before big moves.

Also Read: 5 Ways to Invest in Oil: Starting from Rp11,000, Can You Do It Through Crypto?

2. Bitcoin holds at Rp1.19 Billion but fails to breakout

Bitcoin (BTC) is repeatedly trying to break US$70,000. The last price was around US$69,550 or around Rp1,182,891,000. This was the seventh attempt since February.

The failure of the breakout makes the market lose momentum. Traders began to hesitate to open new positions. This increases the psychological pressure on the cryptocurrency market.

3. Potential Short Squeeze of US$6 Billion if BTC Rises

Around US$6 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC hits US$72,500. If converted, this would be around Rp1,232,282,500 per BTC. This level is an important area for traders to monitor.

Short squeezes can trigger rapid spikes. The liquidation of short positions pushes the price higher. This pattern is common in volatile crypto markets.

4. Downside Risk If Negative Sentiment Continues

In contrast, long positions of around US$2 billion are near US$65,000. This level is equivalent to about Rp1,104,805,000. If prices fall, liquidation of longs could accelerate the decline.

This structure puts the market at a sensitive point. Small movements can trigger huge volatility. Cryptocurrency traders closely monitor this zone.

5. Geopolitical and Regulatory Factors Hit Crypto

Negative sentiment was also triggered by geopolitical conflicts and regulatory uncertainty. Issues such as the US-Iran conflict held back investor buying interest. In addition, the discussion of new crypto rules also added pressure.

But on-chain, Bitcoin is still above the realized price of US$54,279. If converted, this level is around IDR 922,567,263. This means that the market has not yet entered the full accumulation phase.

What it Means for Crypto Investors

Negative sentiment doesn’t always mean the price will go down. Bitcoin (BTC) often moves against the majority of sentiment. High fear conditions can actually be an opportunity.

You need to monitor the US$72,500 and US$65,000 levels. These two zones determine the next direction. The crypto market is currently in a big decision phase.

Also Read: 3 Ethereum Signals: Could It Break Rp40 Million or Fall Again?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Christian Encila / NewsBTC. Bitcoin Mood Sours To Levels Not Seen Since Late February. Accessed April 8, 2026.