5 facts Bitcoin (BTC) could rally to US$100,000 in December 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – December 2025 opened with significant dynamics in the cryptocurrency market: despite speculation that Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to US$100,000, the big sell-off on December 1 confirmed that the market remains vulnerable to liquidity volatility and macro sentiment. The following article summarizes five key points from the latest report that is now being discussed.

1. US$ 100,000 target: from sharp correction to potential rebound

According to investment firm BTIG, after Bitcoin slumped from a record high of around US$ 126,000 (October 2025 peak) and then declined by around 36%, it has entered an “oversold phase.” BTIG’s analysis forecasts a possible short-term rebound – or “reflex rally” – to the US$100,000 range.

From a technical perspective, oversold conditions plus a historically positive year-end season provide support for the rebound hypothesis.

Also Read: 3 Stock Sectors Predicted to be Bought by Investors When the Technology Sector Weakens

2. Expectation of a “rate-cut” from the Federal Reserve (Fed) boosted sentiment

One of the main drivers of this bullish narrative is the rise of prediction and derivatives markets: according to data from platforms such as Polymarket and CME Group, the odds that the Fed will cut rates in December 2025 are now estimated at 85-89%.

This expectation is a breath of fresh air for high-risk assets like BTC, as lower interest rates could lower the cost of capital and increase interest in assets like crypto and mining stocks.

3. High volatility: Dec. 1 sharp drop as market test

While the potential for a rebound is appealing, the reality of December 1 is a reminder that crypto markets are highly vulnerable to negative sentiment. On that day, BTC plunged back below US$90,000 – far from its US$100,000 target – triggered by a combination of factors: incidents in the DeFi sector, global macro sentiment, and a massive wave of liquidation of long positions.

For the broader market (including altcoins and crypto-related stocks), this turmoil serves as a warning that rebounds don’t come smoothly, and the risk of a major sell-off strengthening remains.

4. Opportunities & risks – technical rebound vs leverage and liquidity risks

On the one hand, oversold conditions and macro factors such as declining interest rate expectations and the year-end season are considered favorable for a rebound – providing an opportunity for a “run to US$100,000”. BTIG and other technical analysts say that a recovery to that zone is still technically possible.

But on the other hand, real risks arise from high leverage, fragile liquidity, and a potential exodus of institutional funds – especially if there is a surge in liquidation or bad news (such as the DeFi security incident). This could make for a quick fall back, even below important support zones.

5. What it means for the broader crypto market and medium-term investors

A recovery (if it happens) to US$100,000 could be a breath of fresh air not only for BTC, but also for the crypto industry at large – including miner stocks, altcoins, and DeFi projects. This would make BTC a “top crypto” that continues to attract attention in this period of fluctuation.

However, it is important to note that such rallies appear to be tactical and sensitive to macro data and liquidity conditions – not a guarantee of long-term trends. Investors and market participants are reminded that volatility remains high and that any move should be monitored with important metrics such as leverage, average interest, and institutional fund flows.

Also Read: 4 Key Risks of Cardano (ADA) in December 2025 that Crypto Investors Should Monitor

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

FAQ

What is fueling the hope that Bitcoin could return to US$100,000?

Since Bitcoin has dropped about 36% from its highs, it is considered oversold – that combination with the year-end season and expectations of interest rate cuts from the Fed form the basis of a rebound scenario.

How likely is the Fed to cut interest rates in December 2025?

According to the current prediction and derivatives market, the probability of a rate cut is about 85-89%.

Why could the Bitcoin price plummet again despite a potential rebound?

Declines can result from the liquidation of large long positions, liquidity disruptions in the crypto market, and macro sentiment volatility or security risks in the DeFi sector.

Does the US$100,000 target mean Bitcoin will “explode” high again?

No – the US$100,000 target is positioned as a possible tactical rebound, not a parabolic prediction; the market remains highly sensitive to external factors and structural risks.

How will the overall crypto ecosystem be impacted if Bitcoin rebounds?

A rebound could boost interest in altcoins, miner stocks, and DeFi projects, but the final outcome depends largely on continued stability in liquidity and macro data.

Reference

• Shan Ahmed Khan / TechStock². Bitcoin Price Targets $100,000 as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Soar, but December 1 Sell-Off Tests Bulls. Accessed December 2, 2025